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                                                                                    15








                     Health, Illness and Mortality


                     in Less Developed Countries:


                            Convergence, Divergence,


                                                      and Stagnation




                                                           Bali Ram and Shefali S. Ram     1










                    INTRODUCTION                            largest declines in their economic growth
                                                            during the 1990s, while much of Latin
                    In spite of increasing globalization and inter-  America and the Caribbean have recovered
                    dependence between various parts of the  after the economic slump of the 1980s. Global
                    world over the past three decades, there has  progress on many other indicators of social and
                    been an increased divergence between more  economic development has also been uneven.
                    developed and less developed regions in   Although these regional economic condi-
                    terms of socioeconomic development;     tions are not necessarily a product of demo-
                    although there has been a strong convergence  graphic situations, they are clearly reflected
                    within the former group and strong diver-  in demographic behaviours. The purpose of
                    gence within the latter group (Pritchett,  this chapter is to examine how far social and
                    1997). A few developing countries such as  economic changes have led to the conver-
                    China, India, South Korea, and Indonesia  gence, divergence, and stagnation in health,
                    have made enormous economic gains, while  illness, and mortality patterns in less devel-
                    many including Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina  oped parts of the world, and why some coun-
                    have continued to stagnate despite large cap-  tries and various subgroups have made
                    ital inflows of foreign direct investment. Sub-  enormous gains while others have been left
                    Saharan Africa, which historically has lagged  behind. (For the sake of analytical conven-
                    behind most regions, has continued to expe-  ience, we include in the less developed
                    rience negative per capita economic growth  regions all countries which are not classified
                    over the past two decades. Eastern Europe  as ‘developed’ according to the World Bank.
                    and the Russian Federation experienced the  We do not make  a distinction between less
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