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NATURAL FACTORS DRIVING CLIMATE CHANGE  5


                         Volcanoes also contribute to the extended atmospheric pollutants because over
                       millennia of geologic time periods, they release carbon dioxide from the earth’s interior,
                       counteracting the uptake by sedimentary rocks and other geologic carbon sinks. However,
                       CO contribution resulting from volcanic eruptions is considered relatively insignifi-
                          2
                       cant compared with current anthropogenic emissions. Recent estimates indicate that
                       anthropogenic activities generate more than 130 times the amount of carbon dioxide
                       emitted by volcanoes.



                       GLACIATION
                       Glaciers are one of the most sensitive indicators of climate change. They advance
                       substantially during climate cooling, as in ice ages, and retreat during climate warming
                       on moderate time scales, a climatic cycle that has been repeating through the ages
                       (Fig. 1.4). Glaciers are dynamic in nature; they grow in winter and collapse in summer,
                       contributing to natural climatic variability. These are generally referred to as externally
                       forced changes. However, in the last couple of centuries, glaciers have been unable to
                       regenerate enough mass during the winter to make up for ice lost during summer
                       months. The most significant climate processes that have taken place in the past several
                       million years have been the glacial cycles that result from planetary gravitational forces
                       and cause the formation of ice sheets.



                       OCEAN VARIABILITY
                       Climate changes also result from the interaction between the atmosphere and
                       oceans. Many climatic fluctuations are a result of heat accumulation and storage in
                       the oceans that cause water currents to move between different heat reservoirs. The
                       movement process of oceanic water,  thermoline circulation, plays a key role in
                       redistributing and balancing heat and, consequently, climatic conditions throughout
                       the globe.



















                        Figure 1.4  Trend in global average surface temperature. Courtesy of United Nations
                        Environmental Program/GRID-Arendal.
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