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16  GLOBAL WARMING: CLIMATIC AND ATMOSPHERIC CHANGES





















               Figure 1.11  Atmospheric cooling factors. Courtesy of United Nations Environmental
               Program/GRID-Arendal.




                     period of time that the  Vikings crossed the  Atlantic Ocean, 500 years before
                     Columbus, and settled in Greenland. On arrival, the Vikings found the land flourishing
                     with vegetation, caribou, and myriad other flora and fauna. Historical evidence
                     indicates that colonization and population of the new world continued to grow for
                     nearly three centuries, after which a new era of climatic change, referred to as the
                     little ice age, ushered in severe drops in global temperature. This resulted in a diminish-
                     ment of nourishment, leading to the eventual demise of the entire Viking settlement in
                     North America (Fig. 1.11).
                       Even though historical accounts and evidence substantiate global climate change,
                     climatologists and historians find it difficult to agree on the start and end dates of these
                     periods. All, however, concur that the little ice age began approximately around the
                     sixteenth century and lasted until the mid-nineteenth century.


                     DATING OF THE LITTLE ICE AGE

                     As mentioned earlier, there is mixed concurrence by scientists about the beginning
                     year of the little ice age. However, scientific discovery has shown that a series of
                     events preceded the downward trend of climatic conditions. It has been established
                     that in the thirteenth century, north polar ice and Greenland glaciers began advancing
                     southward. It also has been recorded that from 1315 through 1318, torrential rains ush-
                     ered in an era of extremely unstable weather conditions in northern Europe that lasted
                     through the mid-nineteenth century. The following is a timeline of climatic change
                     during the 400 years of the little ice age:

                       1250 Northern hemispheric pack begins to enlarge
                       1300 Northern Europe warm lasts a mere several years
                       1315  Profusion of annual rains devastates agriculture throughout Europe
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