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86    CHAPTER 3 LINEAR PROGRAMMING: SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF SOLUTION


                                     In Chapter 2 we saw how to formulate and then solve an LP problem. This provides
                                     management with the optimal solution to their decision problem. However, it is highly
                                     unlikely that this will be enough by itself for management, given that the business
                                     environment for most organizations is both constantly changing and increasingly
                                     uncertain and unpredictable. Management are likely to say ‘OK, so that’s the optimal
                                     solution now. But suppose things change? Suppose our costs change? Suppose demand
                                     for the products changes? Suppose our workforce are willing to work overtime? What
                                     should we do then to ensure an optimal solution?’. Such questions are often referred to
                                     as what-if questions. Clearly, if some part of an LP decision problem changes then we
                                     could re-formulate the problem taking into account such changes and then re-solve the
                                     problem. However, this is time-consuming and costly, especially in the real world where
                                     LP problems are large. Fortunately we don’t always need to do this. We can make use
                                     of sensitivity analysis. Sensitivity analysis is a study of how changes in the numerical
                                     coefficients of a linear programme affect the current, optimal solution. We conduct this
                                     analysis from the information we already have about the optimal solution without
                                     having to re-formulate and re-solve the problem. This is a particularly powerful feature
                                     of LP and one which makes it attractive to many decision makers.
                                       Because sensitivity analysis is concerned with how these changes affect the
                                     optimal solution, the analysis does not begin until the optimal solution to the
                                     original linear programming problem has been obtained. For that reason, sensitivity
                                     analysis is often referred to as postoptimality analysis.
                                       Our approach to sensitivity analysis parallels the approach used to introduce linear
                                     programming in Chapter 2. We begin by showing how a graphical method can be used to
                                     perform sensitivity analysis for linear programming problems with two decision variables.
                                     Then, we show how computer packages, like Excel provide sensitivity analysis information.
                                       Finally, we extend the discussion of problem formulation started in Chapter 2 by
                                     formulating and solving three larger linear programming problems. In discussing the
                                     solution for each of these problems, we focus on managerial interpretation of the
                                     optimal solution and sensitivity analysis information.



                               3.1    Introduction to Sensitivity Analysis


                                     Sensitivity analysis is important to decision makers because real-world problems
                                     exist in a changing environment. Prices of raw materials change, product demand
                                     changes, companies purchase new machinery, stock prices fluctuate, employee turn-
                                     over occurs and so on. If a linear programming model has been used in such an
                                     environment, we can expect some of the coefficients to change over time. We will
                                     then want to determine how these changes affect the optimal solution to the original
                                     linear programming problem. Sensitivity analysis provides us with the information
                                     needed to respond to such changes without requiring the complete solution of a
                                     revised linear programme.
                                       Remember the GulfGolf problem in Chapter 2:

                                                  Max  10S þ   9D
                                                  s:t
                                                        0:7S þ    1D   630  Cutting and dyeing
                                                        0:5S þ 0:8333D   600 Sewing
                                                         1S þ 0:6667D   708 Finishing
                                                        0:1S þ 0:25D    135  Inspection and packaging
                                                          S; D   0





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