Page 533 - Battleground The Media Volume 1 and 2
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                       VCRs and DVD players, the industry has tried to adapt to how DVRs change the
                       underlying practices of commercial television before the devices are common-
                       place in most homes. For the industry, the most significant shift in television
                       viewing is that DVR users are much less likely to watch advertisements, using
                       the  technology  to  fast-forward  through  commercial  breaks.  Sponsors  recog-
                       nize this threat, and thus are less willing to pay for ad spots that will be actively
                       avoided by technologically savvy viewers. The threat of DVRs has helped lead
                       to a dramatic rise in product placement in programming in the 2000s, mak-
                       ing sponsored promotions a key component of the program itself. Additionally,
                       the industry recognizes that without scheduling techniques to guide viewers to
                       their programs, they need to develop strategies to attract audiences to individual
                       programs more than established line-ups.
                          One of the most significant aspects of DVRs is how they fit in with a broader
                       logic of technological convergence. In the digital age, media that have tradi-
                       tionally  been  distinct  are  coming  together  via  computers  and  other  digital
                       technology—users can browse, store, and consume their photographs, music
                       collection,  and  video  files  on  personal  computers  and  portable  devices  like
                       iPods. Television has had a bumpy role as part of convergence strategies, as early
                       devices like WebTV failed to catch hold with consumers and the bandwidth
                       demands made online video a rarity for years. But through devices like TiVo,
                       video game consoles like Xbox and PlayStation, the rise of digital HDTV sets,
                       and innovative broadband video distribution, televisions are becoming part of
                       a home network of digital devices, rather than stand-alone boxes that only re-
                       ceive broadcast signals. DVRs offer features like TiVoToGo™ that allow users to
                       transfer television programs across home networks to personal computers and
                       mobile devices. This technology has emerged alongside the television industry
                       offering its shows via online distribution through iTunes or the networks’ own
                       Web sites. Such developments suggest that not only will the television sched-
                       ule cease to be the defining structure for accessing programming, but that the
                       television screen itself will serve as only one option for viewing the content we
                       traditionally think of as “television.”
                          It is hard to predict what the future of DVRs will bring. Viewers who have
                       adopted the technology are passionate about the opportunities and control that
                       it offers, with many TiVo owners becoming active promoters of DVRs as the
                       only way they would ever watch television. Certainly, for such TiVo devotees,
                       the ability to control what and when they watch seems central to their new un-
                       derstanding of how television can be experienced and enjoyed. The industry
                       views the rise of DVRs as inevitable, and thus is preparing new strategies to
                       make programming profitable even when viewers control the schedule and can
                       fast-forward through ads. While most insiders predict that DVRs will eventu-
                       ally become as commonplace as the VCR, there will be a transitional stage of
                       a DVR divide where significant numbers of television households will be DVR
                       users while a large number watch via traditional means. How the industry ad-
                       dresses these two different constituencies will vary, probably guided by which
                       group is viewed as the most lucrative audience to sell to by advertisers. How-
                       ever, such technological shifts are difficult to anticipate—certainly few would
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