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128   Biofuels for a More Sustainable Future



             biomass cultivation followed by an equal, positive flow later in the life cycle.
             The latter, more explicit approach is supported by standards such as PAS
             2050 (BSI, 2011) and ISO 14067 (ISO, 2013b)
                However, this is a topic of ongoing debate, particularly for long-lived
             feedstocks such as wood from forestry, where rapid deforestation can
             indeed create a net contribution to the environment depending on the
             extent and speed of reforestation. The issue is also complicated by the
             potential production of methane, which is a more potent GHG than
             CO 2 , under anaerobic conditions
                Biogenic carbon accounting approaches are discussed in more depth in
             the literature, including carbon payback time, carbon discounting, and
             time-integrated accounting techniques (Cherubini et al., 2011; ICCT,
             2014), but these are beyond the scope of this chapter
             Land use change
             Soil and vegetation contains large amounts of carbon that may be disturbed
             as a result of land use change (LUC). Part of this stored carbon is then
             oxidized and released to the atmosphere as CO 2 . In the energy sector,
             LUC can occur as a direct result of conversion of grasslands or forests to
             biomass cultivation (direct LUC), or via the displacement of other crop
             cultivation activities to previously uncultivated land (indirect LUC). This
             is a major driver of climate change: from 1750 to 2011 it is estimated
             that LUC accounted for 32% (16%–55%) of cumulative anthropogenic
             CO 2 emissions (IPCC, 2014)
                Direct LUC is often incorporated into LCA modeling, with the simplest
             method being that proposed by the European Commission (European
             Commission, 2010) which involves estimating the carbon stored in two
             carbon pools: carbon stock (i.e., living and dead organic biomass) and
             soil carbon stock. Indirect LUC is more difficult to account for due to
             the challenges of consequential analysis, that is, producing an accurate
             economic model to determine how much crop cultivation activity would
             be displaced by the additional demand for energy/feedstock crops. This
             topic is a subject of ongoing research and debate at the time of writing,
             the depth of which is beyond the scope of this chapter. Readers should
             note that the majority of many LCA impact assessment methods already
             include some form of land use accounting in the calculation of climate
             change impacts
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