Page 134 - Democracy and the Public Sphere
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Unfinished Projects: Reflexive Democracy  129

                                  are increasingly mobile and travel widely from their places of origin
                                  (British pollution causes acid rainfall in Scandinavia, economic
                                  decisions made on one side of the globe create unemployment on the
                                  other, and so on). And risks seem increasingly complex and diffi cult to

                                  define or calculate before the fact and before irreversible consequences

                                  have appeared. Fears around genetic modification or the impact of our
                                  increased reliance on antibiotics upon the immune systems of future
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                                  generations, for example, are based on largely incalculable risks.
                                  Risks must be anticipated increasingly through thought experiments,
                                  computer assisted modelling and hypothetical scenarios: scientifi c
                                  inquiry becomes, of necessity, increasingly counterfactual. The risks
                                  involved in a new medical procedure become rapidly apparent when
                                  fifty out of a hundred patients die on the operating table. That

                                  kind of ‘simple’ risk assessment is unproblematic (except for those
                                  unfortunate ‘statistics’). Empiricism does not serve us well, on the

                                  other hand, when it comes to profiling the long-term consequences
                                  of genetic modification, just as an individual could hardly wait and

                                  see how long he lives before he decides whether to change his diet.
                                  Increasingly, risk profiles have to be discursively constructed, or

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                                  ‘scientifically born’, as Beck puts it.  The confl icts that emerge over


                                  the definitions of risk and the symbolic castings of imagined futures
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                                  are increasingly politicised and taken up in public discourse,  as
                                  the competing narratives of genetic modifi cation have highlighted
                                  in recent years: the virtues of scientifi c ‘progress’ and the potential
                                  elimination of hunger versus the dangers of ‘Frankenstein foods’.
                                    Thus far, Beck’s ‘risk society’ fits with Giddens’s refl exive modernity.

                                  Both emphasise the blurring of distinction between risk defi nition
                                  and risk creation (all expert systems and, ultimately, all citizens,
                                  are implicated in both). Modernity’s mythological uncoupling of
                                  ‘nature’ and ‘society’ becomes increasingly untenable as institutional
                                  knowledge and its application feed back into the very risk profi les they
                                  address, and as our relations with ‘nature’ (the sphere of ‘facticity’
                                  in its broadest sense) become inextricably bound up in our relations

                                  with each other as we struggle over the definition and distribution of
                                  nature’s ‘goods’ and ‘bads’. But where Giddens’ refl exive modernity
                                  focuses predominantly on the intersections between individual and
                                  expert system, Beck’s analysis proves better equipped to address
                                  one of the most vexing problems of our time: the paradox of
                                  institutionalised hyper-specialisation and late modernity’s cultural
                                  de-differentiation of ‘value spheres’ (after Weber) – science, law and
                                  morality, and aesthetics. The obscurity of the problems we face stems









                        Goode 02 chap04   129                                           23/8/05   09:36:13
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                        Goode 02 chap04   129
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