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              Biomass, Bioengineering of                                                                  153

              toxicity, but by high oxygen demands if processed in con-  industry. The more biorefineries that are established and
              ventional sewage treatment facilities. Solid wastes from  become successful, the more that will be built as risks
              biomass processing could occupy large volumes of landfill  decline and “know how” increases.
              space, and would tend also produce high oxygen demand  The cumulative effect of incremental process improve-
              liquid effluents from landfills.                    ment is to cause the raw material costs to eventually be-
                The volume of landfill space that might be occupied  come the dominant cost factor. This has already occurred
              by these products is remarkable, particularly for biobased  with the oil refining industry and will take place in the
              fuels. For example, corn stover contains approximately  biomass processing industries as these are established
              10–12% of protein and fat, in addition to the 70–75% of  and grow to maturity. In this regard, biorefineries have a
              the plant material that is carbohydrate and that could be  significant potential advantage over petroleum refineries
              converted to fuel ethanol in a large fermentation facility.  because plant-based raw materials are abundant, widely
              If no economic uses are found for the protein and fat or  available and inexpensive. The availability and prices of
              if economical recovery processes are not developed, these  plant raw materials may thus be more stable and pre-
              biomass components will have to be burned, landfilled,  dictable than those of petroleum. As we have seen, plant
              or treated as sewage and the resulting sludge disposed  raw material prices are already comparable on a cost per
              of. A hypothetical ethanol plant producing 100 million  ton basis with petroleum and coal. Over time, petroleum
              gallons of ethanol per year (less than 0.1% of current U.S.  prices must rise to reflect the fact that it is a nonrenewable
              gasoline demand) from 1 million tons of corn stover will  resource, while there is the potential to keep biomass costs
              also produce at least 100,000 tons of protein and fats.  low indefinitely.
              Assuming a bulk density of about 50 lb per cubic foot,
              this much protein and fat will occupy a volume equivalent  4. Innovation and Risk
              tothesurfaceareaofafootballfieldstackedapproximately
              100 ft deep. Clearly there is strong economic incentive to  While biorefineries have some inherent advantages over
              find uses for all of the components of biomass.    petroleum refineries, they also have some significant dis-
                Therefore, as has occurred with the oil refining industry,  advantages. First, the costs and risks of petroleum refining
              “biorefineries” will tend to emerge. These biorefineries  are well understood and the commodity organic chemicals
              will be large, highly integrated processing plants that will  industry based on petroleum is very well developed. How-
              yieldnumerousproductsandwillattempttosellapoundof  ever, the costs and risks of biomass refining are not nearly
              product for every pound of raw material entering the plant.  so well understood, particularly for large scale plants con-
              Prototype biorefineries already exist, including corn-wet  verting lignocellulosic biomass into fuel ethanol. Innova-
              and dry mills, soybean processing facilities and pulp and  tion is always regarded as risky compared to the status
              paper mills.                                      quo. Investors demand a greater return on investment to
                The number and variety of these biobased products will  compensate for these increased risks and they also require
              increase over time, as has occurred with the oil refining  additional capital investment in the processing plant to re-
              industry. Many biorefinery products can also be produced  duce processing risks or uncertainties. Second, when the
              by oil refineries; including liquid fuels, organic chemi-  petroleum industry was new there was little or no compe-
              cals and materials. However, biorefineries can make many  tition for many of its products as they emerged. However,
              other products that oil refineries cannot, including foods,  most of the potential new biobased products must com-
              feeds,andbiochemicals.Theseadditionalcapabilitiesgive  pete with a comparable petroleum-derived product. These
              biorefineries a potential competitive edge and may provide  two factors are significant hurdles for biomass processing
              increased financial stability.                     industries to overcome.
                                                                  A better fundamental understanding of the underlying
                                                                science and technology for biomass conversion processes
                3. Incremental Process Improvement
                                                                could reduce the risks of such processes as they are
              As we have seen, the number of products from a refinery  scaled up to commercial practice. Better fundamental un-
              tends to increase with time. In addition, the processing  derstanding would reassure investors and allow them to
              technologies used by refineries tend to improve incremen-  reduce the return on investment required. Better funda-
              tally over time. This is partly due to research that improves  mental understanding of the processes would also tend to
              or replaces existing processes, supported within the cost  reduce the processing equipment redundancy required be-
              structure of a successful industry. Research targets those  cause of lack of certainty about its proper functioning un-
              process elements that most impact the overall cost of con-  der commercial practice. Some of the key areas of biomass
              version. Incremental cost reduction is also partly due to or-  processing in which greater fundamental understanding is
              ganizational learning that can only occur in a functioning  required are discussed below.
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