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20   Nanotechnology as a Tool for Sustainability

        target of 12 percent of energy and 22 percent of electricity from renew-
        able sources by 2010, including hydroelectric power.
          In the United States, state governments are leading the way for the
        promotion of solar energy. More than twenty states have now passed
        Renewable Portfolio Standards, while fourteen states have set up
        Renewable Energy Funds to subsidize or promote development of new
        renewable technologies, such as solar and wind power. Clean Edge, a
        research firm in Oakland, California, predicts that spending in renew-
        able energy will jump to $89 billion by 2012, from $10 billion today.
          With a production cost of around 20 to 30 cents per KWh for solar
        energy, solar energy is not yet positioned to be a major competitor to
        fossil fuels, whose electricity generation costs are as low as 2 to 3 cents
        per KWh. However, distributed customer-sited photovoltaics (PVs), where
        transmission and most distribution costs are avoided, is currently com-
        petitive as a peaking technology with small subsidies in regions with
        high levels of solar radiation. In dense urban areas with constrained
        underground transmission and distribution networks, such as San
        Diego, California, PVs can be competitive if the retail pricing fairly
        reflects the full value of generation at peak. Solar energy has also made
        inroads in Germany and Japan where overall retail electricity prices are
        higher than in the United States.


        Renewable    Approximate Price  Approximate Price   R &D Goal
        Resource      per kilowatt hour   per kilowatt hour   Approximate Price
                          (1980)            (2003)            Target

        Wind              $0.80           $0.05             $0.03 (2012)
        Solar (PV)        $2.00           $0.20 – 0.30      $0.06 (2020)
        Biomass           $0.20           $0.10             $0.06 (2020)
        Geothermal        $0.15           $0.05 – 0.08      $0.04 (2010)
          SOURCE: U.S. Department of Energy

          Numerous challenges must be overcome to propel renewable energy
        to replace fossil fuels. Solar energy can be generated through the use of
        plants, through photovoltaic semiconductor junctions, and through catal-
        ysis (in which water is split using sunlight, producing relatively cheap
        hydrogen to produce electricity). Researchers will need to be able to
        offer disruptive solar technology with inexpensive conversion systems
        and effective storage systems. One option is to reduce the costs by
        improving the efficiency of photovoltaic cells. Another is to lower costs
        by enhancing systems to generate thermal solar energy on a larger,
        more cost-effective scale. New catalysts and new integrated systems
        need to be developed to help convert intermittent power into base-load
        power, including new materials to convert sunlight to hydrogen and
        oxygen.
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