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324              20. Air Pollution Modeling and Prediction
















          Fig. 20-1. Concentration of an air pollutant at the point of maximum ground-level concen-
        tration as a function of wind speed and Pasquill stability category (A-F).



        do not change rapidly with wind speed. For E and F stabilities the concentra-
                                                              1
        tions are nearly the same (assuming that A0/Az is 0.02 K m"  for E stability
        and 0.035 for F stability), but are considerably less than for the unstable
        and neutral cases.



                           II. MODELING TECHNIQUES
          Gaussian techniques, discussed in Chapter 19, are reasonable for esti-
        mates of concentrations of nonreative pollutants within 20 km of point
        sources. It is preferable to utilize on-site wind fluctuation measurements
        to estimate the horizontal and vertical spreading of a pollutant plume
        released from a point source.
          In addition to the Gaussian modeling techniques already discussed, four
        other methods will be considered.

        A. Box Model

          Models which assume uniform mixing throughout the volume of a three-
        dimensional box are useful for estimating concentrations, especially for
        first approximations. For steady-state emission and atmospheric conditions,
        with no upwind background concentrations, the concentration is given by


        where x is the steady-state concentration, Ax is the distance over which
        the emissions take place, q a is the area emission rate, z i is the mixing height,
        and u is the mean wind speed through the vertical extent of the box.
          When there is an upwind background concentration Xb and the mixing
        height is rising with time into a layer aloft having an average concentration
        of x a> the equation of continuity is
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