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Basic Probability Concepts                                       15





                                                        B


                              A




                     Figure 2.5  Venn diagram for derivation of Equation (2.12)


           Hence, using Axiom 3,


                          P…A [ B†ˆ P…A ‡ AB†ˆ P…A†‡ P…AB†:              …2:13†

           Furthermore, we note

                                      AB ‡ AB ˆ B:

           Hence, again using Axiom 3,

                                  P…AB†‡ P…AB†ˆ P…B†;

           or


                                  P…AB†ˆ P…B†  P…AB†:

           Substitution of this equation into Equation (2.13) yields Equation (2.12).
             Equation (2.12) can also be verified by inspecting the Venn diagram in Figure
           2.5.  The sum  P(A) ‡  P(B) counts twice the events  belonging to  the shaded
           area  AB .  Hence,  in  computing  P(A [  B),  the  probability  associated  with
           one  AB   must  be  subtracted  from  P(A) ‡  P(B),  giving  Equation  (2.12)  (see
           Figure 2.5).
             The important result given by Equation (2.12) can be immediately general-
           ized to the union of three or more events. Using the same procedure, we can
           show that, for arbitrary events A,  B, and C,

                 P…A [ B [ C†ˆ P…A†‡ P…B†‡ P…C†  P…AB†  P…AC†
                                                                         …2:14†
                                  P…BC†‡ P…ABC†:








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