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Basic Probability Concepts 15
B
A
Figure 2.5 Venn diagram for derivation of Equation (2.12)
Hence, using Axiom 3,
P
A [ B P
A AB P
A P
AB:
2:13
Furthermore, we note
AB AB B:
Hence, again using Axiom 3,
P
AB P
AB P
B;
or
P
AB P
B P
AB:
Substitution of this equation into Equation (2.13) yields Equation (2.12).
Equation (2.12) can also be verified by inspecting the Venn diagram in Figure
2.5. The sum P(A) P(B) counts twice the events belonging to the shaded
area AB . Hence, in computing P(A [ B), the probability associated with
one AB must be subtracted from P(A) P(B), giving Equation (2.12) (see
Figure 2.5).
The important result given by Equation (2.12) can be immediately general-
ized to the union of three or more events. Using the same procedure, we can
show that, for arbitrary events A, B, and C,
P
A [ B [ C P
A P
B P
C P
AB P
AC
2:14
P
BC P
ABC:
TLFeBOOK