Page 216 - Geothermal Energy Systems Exploration, Development, and Utilization
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192  4 Enhancing Geothermal Reservoirs
                                           Just      Clearly
                                        perceptible  perceptible
                                  10000
                                                                             Disturbing
                                                                           V. light damage
                                 Cumulative frequency of events  100  Green  Amber  weak structures
                                   1000
                                                                                Alarming
                                                                               Damage in


                                                                              Red

                                                                              Damaging
                                     10


                                      1

                                              0             2              4             6
                                                       PGV equivalent magnitude

                               Figure 4.9  Pseudo Gutenberg Richter plot (‘‘traffic light
                               plot’’) with thresholds of PGV equivalent magnitudes (after
                               Bommer et al., 2006).

                                 Although the ‘‘traffic light approach’’ has been successfully applied during three
                               hydraulic injection experiments in the Berlin geothermal field, and in El Salvador,
                               in 2003 and 2004, it has to be kept in mind, that it is a reactive measure. Induced
                               seismic events have been reported by various authors (e.g., Bommer et al., 2006;
                               Hoover and Dietrich, 1969; Hsieh and Bredehoft, 1981; Baisch et al., 2006; Charl´ ety
                               et al., 2007; Cuenot, Dorbath, and Dorbath, 2008) well after shut-in. Also at Basel,
                               the injection was halted after the first felt event, but this did not prevent subsequent
                               perceptible events from happening (IEA-GIA, 2009).

                               Addressing Induced Seismicity  In order for EGS to be successfully utilized, the
                               issue of induced seismic events should be proactively addressed on various levels,
                               as illustrated by IEA-GIA(2009) and Bromley and Mongillo (2008).

                               • Estimate local potential for natural seismic hazard and induced seismicity: When
                                 considering sites for EGS development, it is judicious to consult geological
                                 and seismological information in order to determine suitability in relation to
                                 background natural seismicity, the state of stress, and the existence of superficial
                                 deposits, with the potential of amplified ground shaking. Many of the necessary
                                 information might be publicly accessible via governmental institutions like
                                 geological surveys, for example.
                               • Technological innovation: Pioneering concepts for stimulation, and field man-
                                 agement strategies for operation of EGS ought to be used and developed, aiming
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