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CHA PTER F IVE
                                   eventually be dominated by only a few firms, and this means that
                                   their behavior can make a difference and alter the decisions of other
                                   firms. Ifthere is imperfect or oligopolistic competition in particular
                                   economic sectors, then monopoly rents or abnormally high profits
                                   can exist in that sector, and these rents or superprofits can be cap-
                                   tured by a few firms or even by just one firm. 41
                                     The central idea ofthe new strategic trade theory (STT) is that
                                   firms and governments can behave strategically in imperfect global
                                   markets and thereby improve a country’s balance oftrade and na-
                                   tional welfare. It assumes that some markets are characterized by im-
                                   perfect or oligopolistic competition, and that this situation can create
                                   a strategic environment in which there is only a small number of
                                   players. Oligopolistic firms can and do consciously choose a course
                                   ofaction that anticipates the behavior of their competitors. Ifsuccess-
                                   ful, this enables them to capture a much larger portion of the market
                                   than would be possible under conditions ofperfect competition. Two
                                   ofthe most important strategies used to increase a firm’s long-term
                                   domination ofan oligopolistic market are dumping (selling below
                                   cost to drive out competitors in the product area) and preemption
                                   (making huge investments in productive capacity to deter others from
                                   entering the market).
                                     Imperfect or oligopolisitc competition is most likely to occur in
                                   certain high-tech industries characterized by economies ofscale and
                                   learning by doing. These include the aerospace, advanced materials,
                                   computer and semiconductor, and biochemical industries; these tech-
                                   nologies, ofcourse, are identified by all governments as the com-
                                   manding heights ofthe information economy. Most ofthem are dual
                                   technologies, since they are ofparticular importance both to military
                                   weaponry and to economic competitiveness. Therefore, many nations
                                   consider it essential, for both commercial and security reasons, to
                                   take actions that will ensure that they have as strong a capability as
                                   possible in such technologies.
                                     The device ofpreclusive investment provides an example of the
                                   application ofstrategic trade theory; in such a situation, investment
                                   by a domestic firm in a protected home market can give the firm an
                                   overwhelmingly competitive position within that economy, a position
                                   that can deter investment by other countries in that industrial sector.
                                   Government policies may provide a national firm with decisive ad-
                                   vantages in global markets; indeed, Henry Rosovsky and other econo-
                                   mists have argued that the strategy of“import protection in order to

                                    41
                                      A monopoly rent is an excess return on a resource.
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