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ABNORMALLY-HIGH FORMATION PRESSURE                                    53

             3.2.3. Drilling data

                Overpressure can be estimated using drilling data. To predict pressure from the
             drilling data, a fuzzy logic has been used by Aminzadeh et al. (1994). This method
             was first applied to the data from South Caspian Basin. Drilling parameters such as
             the bit weight, rate of penetration, and changes in the rate of penetration were used
             for this purpose. The information obtained from pressure prediction is used to
             choose the required drilling mud density. Also, lithology can be predicted from the
             pressure data (Aminzadeh et al., 1994; Dunan, 1996; Lee, 2000).
                Many factors contribute to the magnitude of abnormal formation pressure. These
             include:
                Compaction of the rocks with a change in porosity.
                Mass transfer fluxes.
                Temperature changes.
                Diagenetic and catagenetic transformations.
                Chemistry of intertstitial fluids.
                Lithology and mineralogy.
                Sand/shale ratio.
                Distribution of porosity and permeability in associated sands and shales.
               The abnormally-high formation pressures in the argillaceous sequences may
             substantially affect the geological processes at depth. They evidently have played an
             important role in folding, clay diapirism, mud volcanism, earthquakes, and
             diagenesis–catagenesis. The models of these phenomena are described by the
             Coulomb’s law and by the rheological models of various theoretical bodies.
             According to the Coulomb’s law, resistance to shearing in shales is the first power
             function of normal compressive stress. As abnormal pore pressure in shales
             increases, the intergranular stress (effective stress) decreases, down to very low values
             under certain conditions. Resistance to shearing, determined by friction, decreases
             correspondingly. This leads to an intergranular sliding and facilitates, to a
             considerable extent, the development of shearing. In such instances, plastic
             argillaceous sequences become quite mobile at high pore pressure in shale and are
             displaced. Depending on the subsurface environment and duration, this process
             may lead to the development of folds, diapirs, mud volcanoes, or earthquakes. In
             the South Caspian Basin and onshore of Azerbaijan, such geologic setup is
             quite typical of thick Paleogene to Miocene argillaceous sequences with extremely
             high, quasigeostatic values of AHFP, with shale pore pressure gradients of
             0.020–0.023 MPa/m (Buryakovsky et al., 1986, 1995, 2001).
                Development of abnormal pore pressures in shales of the South Caspian Basin
             and onshore of Azerbaijan has been experimentally demonstrated by elastic
             compression of hermetically sealed cores of Cenozoic shales. Fig. 3.12 shows
             that the pore pressure (p ) in the core rises with increasing external confining
                                    p
             pressure (total overburden load, s) and then decreases as the confining pressure
             decreases, but always remaining higher than in the case of increasing load, evidently
             as a result of residual (irreversible) deformation of the rock (see Rieke and
             Chilingarian, 1974).
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