Page 78 - Intro Predictive Maintenance
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Benefits of Predictive Maintenance  69

            microprocessor-based instrumentation and dedicated software programs has simpli-
            fied the use of these technologies to a point that almost anyone can effectively use
            them. The failure is not because of technology limitations. We simply are not using
            the tools effectively.

            In most cases, the reason for failure is a lack of planning and preparation before imple-
            menting the program. Many predictive maintenance system vendors suggest that
            implementing a predictive maintenance program is easy and requires little effort to
            set up. Nothing could be further from the truth. There are no easy solutions to the high
            costs of maintenance. The amount of time and effort required to select predictive
            methods that will provide the most cost-effective means to (1) evaluate the operating
            condition of critical plant systems; (2) establish a program plan; (3) create a viable
            database; and (4) establish a baseline value is substantial. The actual time and labor
            required will vary depending on plant size and the complexity of process systems. For
            a small company, the time required to develop a viable program will be about three
            person-months. For large, integrated process plants, this initial effort may be as much
            as 15 person-years. Are the benefits worth this level of effort? In almost every instance,
            the answer is an absolute yes.


            4.1.2 As a Plant Optimization Tool
            Predictive maintenance technologies can provide even more benefit when used as a
            plant optimization tool. For example, these technologies can be used to establish the
            best production procedures and practices for all critical production systems within a
            plant. Few of today’s plants are operating within the original design limits of their
            production systems. Over time, the products that these lines produce have changed.
            Competitive and market pressure have demanded increasingly higher production rates.
            As a result, the operating procedures that were appropriate for the as-designed systems
            are no longer valid. Predictive technologies can be used to map the actual operating
            conditions of these critical systems and to provide the data needed to establish valid
            procedures that will meet the demand for higher production rates without a corre-
            sponding increase in maintenance cost and reduced useful life. Simply stated, these
            technologies permit plant personnel to quantify the cause-and-effect relationship of
            various modes of operation. This ability to actually measure the effect of different
            operating modes on the reliability and resultant maintenance costs should provide the
            means to make sound business decisions.


            4.1.3 As a Reliability Improvement Tool
            As a reliability improvement tool, predictive maintenance technologies cannot be
            beat. The ability to measure even slight deviations from normal operating parameters
            permits appropriate plant personnel (e.g., reliability engineers, maintenance planners)
            to plan and schedule minor adjustments to prevent degradation of the machine or
            system, thereby eliminating the need for major rebuilds and the associated downtime.

            Predictive maintenance technologies are not limited to simple electromechanical
            machines. These technologies can be used effectively on almost every critical system
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