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190                                                     7 Spatial Data

                        Kriging Estimate                Kriging Variance
                  1                             200

                0.9                             180
                0.8                             160
                0.7                             140
               y−coordinates  0.6              y−coordinates  120


                 0.5
                                                100
                0.4
                                                60
                0.3                             80
                0.2                             40

                 0.1                            20
                  0                              0
                   0   0.2  0.4  0.6  0.8  1       0     50   100   150   200
                          x−coordinates                   x−coordinates



                      10  20  30  40  50  60          10  20  30  40  50  60
               a                               b

            Fig. 7.16 Interpolated values on a regular grid by ordinary point kriging using a an exponen-
            tial variogram model; b kriging variance as a function of the distance from the observations
            (empty circles).


            Discussion of Kriging


            Point kriging as presented here is an exact interpolator. It reproduces ex-
            actly the values at an observation point, even though a variogram with a
            nugget effect is used. Smoothing can be caused by including the variance
            of the measurement errors (see Kitanidis, 1997) and by block kriging which
            averages the observations within a certain neighborhood (block).  While
            kriging variance only depends on the distance between the observed and
            the unobserved locations it is primary a measure of density of information
            (Wackernagel, 2003). The accuracy of kriging is better evaluated by cross-
            validation using a resampling method or surrogate test (Chapter 4.6 and
            4.7). The influence of the neighboring observations on the estimation de-

            pends on their configuration. Webster and Oliver (2001) summarize: Near

            points carry more weight than more distant ones; the relative weight of a
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