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                                                                               Radical or transformational change
                                    we achieve our goal, but she also believes that success will follow only where the
                                    passion of ‘the change leaders’ matches their aspiration as judged by how
                                    strongly they feel about that aspiration, how convinced they are of its accom-
                                    plishment, how excited they are, what sacrifices they are prepared to make and
                                    so on. But the advocate might be wrong. So another dimension is: can the advo-
                                    cate enlist backers and supporters, and, ultimately, the sanity check of gaining
                                    support from key stakeholders?
                                      But these remain indicators of acceptability as much as of ambition; that is at
                                    least likely to be the case. Can we more unambiguously address the question of
                                    how to estimate the level of ambition in any set of proposals for strategic change?
                                    Carnall (2004) presents a readiness for change index and McGrath and MacMillan
                                    (2000) set out profiles for technical uncertainty, competitive insulation (basically
                                    means of defending your competitive advantage expected in a new venture) and
                                    the assumption-to-knowledge ratio (in essence the proportion of the knowledge
                                    needed for a new venture based on assumption rather than hard evidence).
                                    Clearly therefore we have thought it right to include the idea of the level of ambi-
                                    tion involved in any set of changes (effectively the extent to which changes are
                                    radical as opposed to incremental) in our readiness for change index. What issues
                                    need to be considered in doing so? Before looking at that we need first to think
                                    about unintended consequences.
                                      I recall reading a short piece in The Times. It went as follows:

                                      Schools in London implementing government healthy eating policies have
                                      limited the number of days on which French fries are served at lunch to twice
                                      per week. The police are horrified at a dramatic increase in truancy rates.

                                    And how are these statements connected? The truancy was largely post lunch.
                                    Seeing no French fries on the menu, the attractions of McDonald’s were just too
                                    good, and once they left the school grounds . . .
                                      We need to add a further idea, that of vicious circles. Masuch (1983) bases his
                                    analysis on the simple thought that actions lead to consequences, not always
                                    intended, still less always desirable. Using ideas from cybernetics and control the-
                                    ory he notes that from the consequences of action comes feedback. Positive feed-
                                    back tends to amplify any consequence in future. Thus if a manager chooses to

                                    ignore the poor performance of a subordinate, this will both undermine future
                                    performance of the subordinate and have a negative impact on colleagues (e.g.
                                    they may need to work harder in consequence and may become demotivated in
                                    consequence).



                                    Radical or transformational change

                                    Jack Welch, former head of General Electric, is the business leader most frequently
                                    identified with ambitious, transformational strategy. Tichy and Sherman (1995):

                                      The self-confidence that had characterized the company’s managers began to
                                      erode. Left to pursue its course for another decade or so, this apparently
                                      healthy company might have been another Chrysler. Instead of waiting for
                                      trouble, the CEO pushed for radical change . . .

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