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446                                                   Part IV Structural Reliabiliq



                 to loading pattern and human action and needs to be considered as stochastic process in long
                 term.
                 For an FPSO,  a Poisson rectangular pulse process in time domain is applied to model the
                 SWBM.  Its cumulative distribution cab be  fitted by a Raleigh distribution for the sagging
                 condition and by an exponential distribution for the hogging conditions according to Wang,
                 Jiao and Moan (1996), e.g.:

                                                                                    (25.1 1)


                 for sagging SWBM and
                                                                                    (25.12)



                 for hogging condition, where M, is the SWBM of an individual load condition and  V,  is the
                 mean arrival rate of one load condition. The specified maximum SWBM in a design lifetime
                 of ~,=20 years, MSgis (IACS, 1995)

                           -0.065C,LzB(CB  + 0.7)   (sagging)
                                                                                    (25.1 3)
                           C,L2B(0.1225-0.015CB)  (hogging)
                 in which L, B and C,  are the ship length, breadth and block coefficient respectively, and c, is
                 the wave coefficient given by
                          10.75 -((300-  L) /   100 < L I 300
                      C, =  10.75            300 < L I350                           (25.14)
                         i 10.75 -((L-  350)/1S0)3’2   L > 350

                 The CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function) for the largest of the individual SWBMs can be
                 found for a total of the v, Trepetitions using the extreme theory,




                 where A‘,   = M,/M,,,  , the parameters a, and  ps are given by









                 Many research efforts have been made on the prediction of VWBM experienced on the ship
                 hulls using linear and  nonlinear methods for unrestricted service conditions. VWBM  is  a
                 naturally stochastic process and can be described by either short-term or long-term statistics.
                 The long-term VWBM is based on the weighted short-term statistics. It is generally accepted
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