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74     PART 2    CAPTURING MARKETING INSIGHTS



                                        Given the speed of the Internet, it is important to act quickly on information gleaned online.
                                      Here are two companies that benefited from a proactive approach to online information: 20
                                      •  When ticket broker StubHub detected a sudden surge of negative sentiment about its brand
                                         after confusion arose about refunds for a rain-delayed Yankees–Red Sox game, it jumped in to
                                         offer appropriate discounts and credits. The director of customer service observed, “This
                                         [episode] is a canary in a coal mine for us.”
                                      •  When Coke’s monitoring software spotted a Twitter post that went to 10,000 followers from an
                                         upset consumer who couldn’t redeem a prize from a MyCoke rewards program, Coke quickly
                                         posted an apology on his Twitter profile and offered to help resolve the situation. After the con-
                                         sumer got the prize, he changed his Twitter avatar to a photo of himself holding a Coke bottle.


                                      Analyzing the Macroenvironment


                                      Successful companies recognize and respond profitably to unmet needs and trends.

                                      Needs and Trends

                                      Enterprising individuals and companies manage to create new solutions to unmet needs. Dockers
                                      was created to meet the needs of baby boomers who could no longer fit into their jeans and wanted
                                      a physically and psychologically comfortable pair of pants. Let’s distinguish among fads, trends,
                                      and megatrends.
                                      •  A fad is “unpredictable, short-lived, and without social, economic, and political significance.”
                                         A company can cash in on a fad such as Crocs clogs, Elmo TMX dolls, and Pokémon gifts and
                                         toys, but getting it right requires luck and good timing. 21
                                      •  A direction or sequence of events with momentum and durability, a trend is more predictable
                                         and durable than a fad; trends reveal the shape of the future and can provide strategic direction.
                                         A trend toward health and nutrition awareness has brought increased government regulation
                                         and negative publicity for firms seen as peddling unhealthy food. Macaroni Grill revamped its
                                         menu to include more low-calorie and low-fat offerings after a wave of bad press: The Today
                                         Show called its chicken and artichoke sandwich “the calorie equivalent of 16 Fudgesicles,”and in
                                         its annual list of unhealthy restaurant dishes, Men’s Health declared its 1,630 calorie dessert
                                         ravioli the “worst dessert in America.” 22
                                      •  A megatrend is a “large social, economic, political, and technological change [that] is slow to
                                         form, and once in place, influences us for some time—between seven and ten years, or longer.” 23
                                      •  To help marketers spot cultural shifts that might bring new opportunities or threats, several
                                         firms offer social-cultural forecasts. The  Yankelovich Monitor interviews 2,500 people
                                         nationally each year and has tracked 35 social value and lifestyle trends since 1971, such as
                                         “anti-bigness,” “mysticism,” “living for today,” “away from possessions,” and “sensuousness.”
                                         A new market opportunity doesn’t guarantee success, of course, even if the new product is tech-
                                         nically feasible. Market research is necessary to determine an opportunity’s profit potential.

                                      Identifying the Major Forces

                                      The end of the first decade of the new century brought a series of new challenges: the steep
                                      decline of the stock market, which affected savings, investment, and retirement funds; increasing
                                      unemployment; corporate scandals; stronger indications of global warming and other signs of
                                      deterioration in the national environment; and of course, the rise of terrorism. These dramatic
                                      events were accompanied by the continuation of many existing trends that have already pro-
                                      foundly influenced the global landscape. 24
                                        Firms must monitor six major forces in the broad environment: demographic, economic, social-
                                      cultural, natural, technological, and political-legal. We’ll describe them separately, but remember
                                      that their interactions will lead to new opportunities and threats. For example, explosive population
                                      growth (demographic) leads to more resource depletion and pollution (natural), which leads
                                      consumers to call for more laws (political-legal), which stimulate new technological solutions and
                                      products (technological) that, if they are affordable (economic), may actually change attitudes and
                                      behavior (social-cultural).
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