Page 10 - Modern Spatiotemporal Geostatistics
P. 10

PREFACE

                                 "If an old rule  of  thumb  from  the  publishing
                         industry  is to be believed,  every  equation  included  in
                 a  book halves the number  sold."  Economist,  Jan. 2-8,  1999

        Stochastic  characterization of  spatial and temporal  attributes  began  as a  col-
        lection  of  mathematical  concepts  and  methods  developed originally  (mostly
        in  the  1930's  through  1950's)  by  A.N.  Kolmogorov,  H.  Wold,  N.  Wiener,
        A.M.  Yaglom,  K.  Ito,  I.M.  Gel'fand, L.S. Gandin,  B.  Matern,  P. Whittle, and
        others.  G. Matheron  coined the term  "geostatistics"  to  refer to  these develop-
        ments,  brought  them  together,  modified them  in some cases,  and then applied
        them systematically  in the  mining exploration context.  Rapid  commercial  suc-
        cess  allowed  Matheron  to  establish the  Fontainebleau  Research  Center in  the
        late  1960's  outside  Paris.  Later,  geostatistical  techniques were  used  in  other
        disciplines  as well,  including  hydrogeology,  petroleum  engineering,  and  envi-
        ronmental  sciences.  Geostatistics was introduced  in the  1970's  in  Canada  and
        the  United  States  by geostatisticians  including  M.  David,  A.G.  Journal,  and
        R.A.  Olea.  References to  selected  publications  of  the  above researchers may
        be found  in the  bibliography  at  the  end of this  book.
             It  is widely  recognized that the techniques of classical geostatistics,  which
        have  been  used  for  several  decades,  have  reached their  limit  and the  time  has
        come  for  some  alternative  approaches  to  be  given  a  chance.  In  fact,  many
        researchers  and  practitioners  feel that  they  may soon be faced with  some  kind
        of  law  of  diminishing  returns  for  geostatistics,  inasmuch as the  problems  of
        the  rapidly  developing  new scientific  fields  are  becoming  more  complex,  and
        seemingly fewer new geostatistical  concepts and methods are available for their
        solution.
            With  these concerns  in  mind,  this  book  is an introduction  to  the  funda-
        mentals of  modern spatiotemporal  geostatistics.  Modern  geostatistics  is viewed
        in  the  book  as a group  of spatiotemporal concepts and  methods which are the
        products  of the  advancement of the  epistemic  status of stochastic data analy-
        sis.  The  latter  is considered  from a novel  perspective  promoting the  view  that
                                        ix
   5   6   7   8   9   10   11   12   13   14   15