Page 12 - Pipeline Risk Management Manual Ideas, Techniques, and Resources
P. 12

Preface






              The first edition of this book was written at a time when formal   complete and useful databases to further our knowledge and to
              risk assessments of pipelines were fairly rare. To be sure, there   support detailed risk modeling efforts.
              were some repairheplace models out there, some maintenance   Given this as a backdrop, one objective ofthis third edition is
              prioritization schemes, and the occasional regulatory approval   to again provide a simple approach to help a reader put together
               study, but, generally, those who embarked on a formal process   some kind of assessment tool with a minimum of aggravation.
              for  assessing  pipeline  risks  were doing  so  for very  specific   However, the primary objective of this edition is to provide a
              needs and were not following a prescribed methodology.   reference book for concepts, ideas, and maybe a few templates
                The situation is decidedly different now. Risk management is   covering a wider range of pipeline risk  issues and modeling
               increasingly being mandated by regulations. A risk assessment   options. This is done with the belief that an idea and reference
              seems to be the centerpiece of every approval process and every   book will best serve the present needs ofpipeline risk managers
              pipeline litigation. Regulators are directly auditing risk assess-   and anyone interested in the field.
              ment programs. Risk management plans are increasingly com-   While I generally shy away from technical books that get too
              ing under direct public scrutiny.          philosophical and are weak in specific how-to’s, it is just simply
                While risk has always been an interesting topic to many, it is   not  possible  to adequately  discuss  risk  without  getting  into
              also often clouded by preconceptions of requirements of huge   some social and psychological issues. It is also doing a disserv-
              databases,  complex  statistical  analyses,  and  obscure  proba-   ice to the reader to imply that there is only one correct risk man-
              bilistic  techniques.  In  reality, good  risk  assessments  can be   agement approach. Just as an engineer will need to engage in a
              done even in a data-scarce environment. This was the major   give-and-take process when designing the optimum building or
              premise of the earlier editions. The first edition even had a cer-   automobile, so too will the designer of a risk assessment/man-
              tain sense of being a risk assessment cookbook-“Here  are the   agement process.
               ingredients and how to combine them.” Feedback from readers   Those  embarking  on  a pipeline  risk  management process
               indicates that this was useful to them.    should realize that, once some basic understanding is obtained,
                Nonetheless, there also seems to be an increasing desire for   they have many options in specific approach. This should be
              more sophistication in risk modeling. This is no doubt the result   viewed as an exciting  feature,  in my  opinion.  Imagine how
              of more practitioners  than ever before-pushing   the bound-   mundane would be the practice of engineering if there were lit-
              aries-as  well as the more widespread availability of data and   tle variation in problem solving. So, my advice to the beginner
              the more powerful computing environments that make it easy   is simple: arm yourself with knowledge, approach this as you
              and  cost  effective  to  consider  many  more  details  in  a  risk   would any significant engineering project, and then enjoy the
              model.  Initiatives are currently under  way  to generate  more   journey  !
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