Page 20 - Pipelines and Risers
P. 20

Contents                                                             XVlI


            16.1.2   Risk Analysis Objectives .........................................................................................................   277
            16.1.3   Risk Analysis Concepts  ...........................................................................................................   278
           16.2  Acceptance Criteria  ..............................................................................................................................   279
            16.2.1   General .............................................................................................................................
            16.2.2   Individual Risk ........................................................................................................................   280
            16.2.3   Societal Risk ............................................................................................................................   280
            16.2.4   Environmental Risk  .................................................................................................................   281
            16.2.5   Financial Risks ........................................................................................................................  282
           16.3  Identification  of Initiating Events ........................................................................................................   283
           16.4  Cause Analysis  .....................................................................................................................................   283
            16.4.1   General ..............................................................................................................
            16.4.2   Fault Tree Analysis .................................................................................................................  284
            16.4.3   Event Tree Analysis ................................................................................................................   284
                               Events ............................................................................................................  284
                               .......................................................................................................................   284
                               .......................................................................................................................  285
           16.6   Causes of Risks ....................................................................................................................................   287
            16.6.1   General ....................................................................................................................................   287
            16.6.2   1"  Party Individual Risk ..........................................................................................................  287
             16.6.3   Societal, Environmental and Material Loss Risk ....................................................................   288
           16.7  Consequence Analysis .........................................................................................................................  288
            16.7.1   Consequence Modeling  ...........................................................................................................  288
            16.7.2   1 *' Party Individual and Societal Risk ......................................................................................   291
            16.7.3   Environmental Risks ...............................................................................................................  291
             16.7.4   Material Loss Risk ...................................................................................................................   291
           16.8   Example 1: Risk analysis for a Subsea Gas Pipeline ...........................................................................  292
             I 6.8.1   General ....................................................................................................................................   292
            16.8.2   Gas Releases ............................................................................................................................  292
            16.8.3   Individual Risk ........................................................................................................................   294
             16.8.4   Societal Risk ............................................................................................................................   295
             16.8.5   Environmental Risk .................................................................................................................   297
             16.8.6   Risk of Material Loss ..............................................................................................................   297
             16.8.7   Risk Estimation .......................................................................................................................   298
           16.9   Example 2: Dropped Object Risk Analysis  ..........................................................................................   298
             16.9.1   General ....................................................................................................................................  298
             16.9.2   Acceptable Risk Levels ..............................................................................
             16.9.3   Quantitative Cause Analysis  .......................................................................
             16.9.4   Results ...........................................................................   ...................................   301
             16.9.5   Consequence Analysis  ...................................................   ..................................................  302
           16.10     References  .........................   .................................................................................................  303
         Chapter 17  Route Optimization, Tie-in and Protection                 305
           17.1  Introduction ..........................................................................................................................................   305
           17.2  Pipeline Routing .......................................................................................   ....................................   305
             17.2.1   General Principle  ..............................................................................   ....................................   305
             17.2.2   Fabrication. Installation and Operational Cost Considerations ........................................
             17.2.3   Route Optimization  ..........................................................................................................
           17.3  Pipeline Tie-ins ................................................   ...........................................................................  307
             17.3.1   Spoolpieces  ..................................................................................................................................   307
             17.3.2   Lateral Pull ...................................................................................................................................   309
             17.3.3   J-Tube Pull-In ..............................................................................................................................  310
             17.3.4   Connect and Lay Away .....................................................................................................
             17.3.5   Stalk-on ........................................................................................................................................   315
           17.4  Flowline TrenchinglBurying  .   ..........................................................................  315
             17.4.1   Jet Sled .........................................................................................................................................   315
             17.4.2   Ploughing  ............  ...................................................................................................................   317
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