Page 632 - Probability and Statistical Inference
P. 632

14. Appendix   609

                           Science, to Neyman. This monograph had a life-long influence on Neyman.
                              Very early in college, Neyman was keenly interested in the theory of Lebesgue
                           measure. But, life-style was uncertain and difficult during those days of wars.
                           Poland and Russia started fighting about territories. Because of his Polish
                           background, Neyman was arrested as an enemy alien and he spent a few
                           weeks in jail. But, he was needed in the University to teach, and hence he was
                           ultimately let go.
                              At the age of 27, Neyman first had the opportunity to visit Poland in an
                           exchange of prisoners of war and in Warsaw, he met the Polish mathemati-
                           cian W. Sierpi ski who encouraged him and thought highly of his research.
                           Ultimately Sierpi ski helped Neyman to get a job as a statistician in the Na-
                           tional Institute of Agriculture. Here, he was to take meteorological observa-
                           tions and help with agricultural experiments.
                              Neyman’s doctoral thesis (1923) in the University of Warsaw had dealt
                           with probabilistic considerations in agricultural trials. In 1924, he went to the
                           University College London for a year to study under Karl Pearson where he
                           met three other statisticians: R. A. Fisher, E. S. Pearson, and W. S. Gosset
                           (“Student”). Some of Neyman’s papers were known to the people at the
                           University College because their English translations were already available.
                           Neyman spent the following year in Paris with a Rockefeller Fellowship, and
                           became acquainted with H. Lebesgue, J. Hadamard, and E. Borel.
                              In late 1920’s, Neyman focused more upon mathematical statistics as well
                           as applications in economics, insurance, biology and industry. His collabora-
                           tion with E. S. Pearson started around 1925. Since early 1920’s, (E. S.) Pearson
                           began developing his own philosophy of statistical methods and inference. He
                           also started to appreciate and build practical statistical models, particularly
                           useful for industrial applications. During 1928-1938, extensive collaborations
                           took place between (E. S.) Pearson and Neyman.
                              Neyman and (E. S.) Pearson (1928a,b) approached inference problems to
                           build statistical tools for experimenters to choose between two classes of
                           models. These culminated later into path-breaking contributions, Neyman and
                           (E. S.) Pearson (1333a,b). In the latter papers, likelihood ratio tests in the
                           multi-parameter cases were fully developed. Neyman and Pearson (1933a)
                           has been included in the Breakthroughs in Statistics, Volume I [Johnson and
                           Kotz (1992)]. Neyman-Pearson’s formulation of optimal tests ultimately evolved
                           into optimal decision functions for more general statistical problems in the
                           hands of Wald (1949b,1950).
                              Fisher criticized the Neyman-Pearson approach claiming that his estima-
                           tion theory, along with the likelihood and sufficiency, was quite adequate, and
                           that the work of Neyman and Pearson on testing of hypotheses was mis-
   627   628   629   630   631   632   633   634   635   636   637