Page 16 - Psychology of Money - Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness-Harriman House Limited (2020)
P. 16

To write about what was happening, I wanted to figure out what was
                happening. But the first thing I learned after the financial crisis was that no
  COBACOBA
                one could accurately explain what happened, or why it happened, let alone
                what should be done about it. For every good explanation there was an

                equally convincing rebuttal.


                Engineers can determine the cause of a bridge collapse because there’s
                agreement that if a certain amount of force is applied to a certain area, that
                area will break. Physics isn’t controversial. It’s guided by laws. Finance is
                different. It’s guided by people’s behaviors. And how I behave might make
                sense to me but look crazy to you.


                The more I studied and wrote about the financial crisis, the more I realized
                that you could understand it better through the lenses of psychology and
                history, not finance.


                To grasp why people bury themselves in debt you don’t need to study
                interest rates; you need to study the history of greed, insecurity, and

                optimism. To get why investors sell out at the bottom of a bear market you
                don’t need to study the math of expected future returns; you need to think
                about the agony of looking at your family and wondering if your investments
                are imperiling their future.


                I love Voltaire’s observation that “History never repeats itself; man always
                does.” It applies so well to how we behave with money.


                In 2018, I wrote a report outlining 20 of the most important flaws, biases,
                and causes of bad behavior I’ve seen affect people when dealing with
                money. It was called The Psychology of Money, and over one million people

                have read it. This book is a deeper dive into the topic. Some short passages
                from the report appear unaltered in this book.


                What you’re holding is 20 chapters, each describing what I consider to be
                the most important and often counterintuitive features of the psychology of
                money. The chapters revolve around a common theme, but exist on their
                own and can be read independently.
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