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ESTIMATION  THEORY                           [CHAP  7

              is the most efficient linear unbiased estimator of p.
                  Assume that



              is a linear unbiased estimator of p with lower variance than M. Since MI is unbiased, we must have




              which implies that xy= '=,  ai = 1. By Eq. (4.1 1 Z),

                                     Var(M) = 1 02   and   Var(M ,)  = o2  ai2
                                            n                      i= 1
              By assumption,




              Consider the sum









              which, by  assumption (7.30), is less than 0. This is impossible unless ai = l/n, implying that M is the most
              efficient linear unbiased estimator of p.

         7.5.   Showthatif
                                     lim E(O,)  = 8   and   limVar(O,)  = 0
                                     n-rm                  n-+ a)
              then the estimator On is consistent.
                  Using Chebyshev's inequality (2.97), we can write










              Thus, if
                                       lim E(On) = 8   and   lim Var(G3,)  = 0
                                      n-  m               n-rm
              then                            limP(I0, - 81 ~E)=O
                                             n-r m
              that is, On is consistent [see Eq. (7.6)].


         7.6.   Let (XI, . . . , X,)  be a random sample of a uniform r.v.  X over (0, a), where a is unknown. Show
              that


              is a consistent estimator of the parameter a.
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