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Chapter 13: Confidence Intervals: Making Your Best Guesstimate
                                         Estimating the Difference
                                         of Two Proportions
                                                    When a characteristic, such as opinion on an issue (support/don’t support),
                                                    of the two groups being compared is categorical, people want to report on
                                                    the differences between the two population proportions — for example, the   211
                                                    difference between the proportion of women who support a four-day work
                                                    week and the proportion of men who support a four-day work week. How do
                                                    you do this?
                                                    You estimate the difference between two population proportions, p  – p , by
                                                                                                            1   2
                                                    taking a sample from each population and using the difference of the two
                                                    sample proportions,   , plus or minus a margin of error. The result is called
                                                    a confidence interval for the difference of two population proportions, p  – p .
                                                                                                             1   2
                                                    The formula for a CI for the difference between two population proportions
                                                    is                               , where   and n are the sample propor-
                                                                                                  1
                                                    tion and sample size of the first sample, and   and n are the sample proportion
                                                                                                2
                                                    and sample size of the second sample. z* is the appropriate value from the stan-
                                                    dard normal distribution for your desired confidence level. (Refer to Table 13-1
                                                    for z*-values.)
                                                    To calculate a CI for the difference between two population proportions, do
                                                    the following:

                                                      1. Determine the confidence level and find the appropriate z*-value.
                                                        Refer to Table 13-1.
                                                      2. Find the sample proportion   for the first sample by taking the total
                                                        number from the first sample that are in the category of interest
                                                        and dividing by the sample size, n . Similarly, find   for the second
                                                                                      1
                                                        sample.
                                                     3. Take the difference between the sample proportions,   .
                                                      4. Find        and divide that by n . Find      and divide that
                                                                                       1
                                                        by n . Add these two results together and take the square root.
                                                            2
                                                      5. Multiply z* times the result from Step 4.
                                                         This step gives you the margin of error.















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