Page 285 - Statistics for Dummies
P. 285

Chapter 17: Experiments: Medical Breakthroughs or Misleading Results?
                                                    new laser surgery technique for nearsightedness, and you’ve been selected at
                                                    random to participate in our study. When can you come in for the surgery?”
                                                    Something tells me that this approach wouldn’t go over very well with many
                                                    people receiving the call (although some would probably jump at the chance,
                                                    especially if they didn’t have to pay for the procedure).
                                                   The point is that getting a truly random sample of people to participate in an
                                                    experiment is generally more difficult than getting a random sample of folks
                                                    to participate in a survey. However, statisticians can build techniques into the
                                                    design of an experiment to help minimize the potential bias that can occur.
                                                    Making random assignments
                                                    One way to minimize bias in an experiment is to introduce some randomness.
                                                    After the sample has been decided on, the subjects are randomly divided
                                                    into treatment and control groups. The treatment groups receive the vari-
                                                    ous treatments being studied, and the control group receives the current (or   269
                                                    standard) treatment, no treatment, or a placebo. (See the section “Designing
                                                    the experiment to make comparisons” earlier in this chapter.)
                                                    Making random assignments of subjects to treatments is an extremely critical
                                                    step toward minimizing bias in an experiment. Suppose a researcher wants to
                                                    determine the effects of exercise on heart rate. The subjects in his treatment
                                                    group run 5 miles and have their heart rates measured before and after the
                                                    run. The subjects in his control group sit on the couch the whole time and
                                                    watch reruns of old TV shows. Which group would you rather be in? Some
                                                    health nuts out there would no doubt volunteer for the treatment group. If
                                                    you’re not crazy about the idea of running five miles, you may opt for the
                                                    easy way out and volunteer to be a couch potato. (Or maybe you hate to
                                                    watch old reruns so much that you’d run five miles to avoid that.)
                                                                   Finding volunteers
                                            To find subjects for their experiments, research-  doctors and patients depend on these studies
                                            ers often advertise for volunteers and offer them   being representative of the general population.
                                            incentives such as money, free treatments, or   In order to recruit such representative subjects,
                                            follow-up care for their participation. Medical   researchers have to do a broad advertisement
                                            research on humans is complicated and diffi-  campaign and select enough participants with
                                            cult, but it’s necessary in order to really know   enough different characteristics to represent a
                                            whether a treatment works, how well it works,   cross section of the populations of folks who
                                            what the dosage should be, and what the side   will be prescribed these treatments in the
                                            effects are. In order to prescribe the right treat-  future.
                                            ments in the right amounts in real-life situations,









                                                                                                                           3/25/11   8:13 PM
                             25_9780470911082-ch17.indd   269
                             25_9780470911082-ch17.indd   269                                                              3/25/11   8:13 PM
   280   281   282   283   284   285   286   287   288   289   290