Page 15 - The CNN Effect in Action - How the News Media Pushed the West toward War ini Kosovo
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                                                                FOREWORD
                                                           In the ramp-up to the March 2003 invasion of Iraq, ghosts of
                                                         Saddam’s brutal rule began to appear with great regularity in the
                                                         American media. Among other references to Saddam’s history of vio-
                                                         lence and repression, President George W. Bush and others in his
                                                         administration invoked the March 1988 gassing of Kurds in the town
                                                         of Halabja: “What we’re telling our friends is that Saddam Hussein is
                                                         a man who is willing to gas his own people, willing to use weapons of
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                                                         mass destruction again Iraq citizens.” Estimates of casualties in the
                                                         Kurdish town of Halabja range from several hundred to 7,000 people.
                                                         It was, indeed, a barbaric act.
                                                           But what George W. Bush and others in his administration failed to
                                                         mention was that, at the time, his father, George H. W. Bush, as both
                                                         vice president and president, ignored Saddam’s use of chemical
                                                         weapons during the Iran-Iraq war, and even helped convince the
                                                         Senate to drop plans to cut off all aid to Iraq in response to the gassing
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                                                         of Kurds in Halabja. Instead, the son invoked the ghosts of the
                                                         father’s inactions.
                                                           Emotion, death, honor, revenge, revulsion, anger, disgust: these
                                                         are all the messy emotions of war and, at times, foreign policymaking.
                                                         Babak Bahador  does a brilliant job describing how and when ghosts
                                                         of the dead call leaders into action and in the process give pause to
                                                         political counselors.
                                                           While a fellow at the Joan Shorenstein Center on Press, Politics,
                                                         and Public Policy at Harvard University’s Kennedy School, I wrote an
                                                         essay that I hoped would offer a clearer way of thinking about the
                                                         possible effects of dramatic and emotional media coverage on foreign
                                                         policy decision-making—particularly those involving the use of force.
                                                         To that point, too much of the scholarly and public debate concerning
                                                         media effects on foreign policy decision-making and policy processes
                                                         was disjointed and conceptually vague. Some, particularly political
                                                         leaders, took the position that there were clear and strong effects,
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                                                         while others argued just as forcefully that there were none. It went
                                                         back and forth, but with little headway. In reviewing these arguments,
                                                         I was struck by their lack of conceptual coherence. Rather than having
                                                         a dialog about the same phenomenon, observers were carrying on
                                                         serial monologs about several loose categories of effects, all somehow
                                                         tied together by global real-time media. I wanted to sort this out.
                                                           I proposed a two-dimensional matrix of media effects: on one
                                                         dimension was a typology of potential media effects; on the other was
                                                         an array of politico-military policy options. Richard Haass inspired the
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                                                         policy matrix. Haass outlined a linear escalation of military inter-
                                                         ventions, beginning with the almost wholly benign interventions in
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