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On the Economics and Social Typology of Volcano Tourism with Special Reference to Montserrat, West Indies  89



                     with a resignation that it is here to stay for the
                     foreseeable  future  are  essential  psychological
                     factors  that  both  islanders  and  potential  tourists
                     alike need to face. Since 1995 a scientific team of
                     international experts, set up to advise the governing
                     body  on  Montserrat,  have  been  monitoring  the
                     volcano  and  assessing  the  risk  to  the  local
                     population of future eruptions or other kinds of
                     potential non-eruptive hazards including mudflows
                     and dust inhalation. Their conclusions (as of 2009)
                     are that there is an 80 per cent chance the current
                     eruptive phase will last for the next five years, and
                     a 50 per cent chance the volcano will be active for
                     the next 33 years. It may of course erupt at any   Figure 6.2  Hazard Map of Montserrat. The island is
                     time.                                      divided into six land zones and two maritime exclusion
                        A  key  development  in  monitoring  volcanic   zones
                     activity  was  the  setting  up  of  the  Montserrat
                     Volcano Observatory (MVO), beginning its life as   Note: Even if the risk level is deemed high in the south, the region north
                                                                of the zone boundary crossing the Centre Hills has unrestricted visitor
                     the  Soufrière  Hills Volcano  Observatory  in  July   access
                     1995, and changing its name to the MVO when it
                     moved to a rented villa in Olde Town in October   Source: Montserrat Volcano Observatory
                     of  that  year.  The  role  of  the  observatory  as
                     originally  formulated  was  to  gather  geophysical   Transport and infrastructure
                     and geological data on the state of the volcano and   Prior  to  1995  Montserrat  had  an  international
                     make available that data to the risk assessors. Early   airport and jetty allowing passengers to disembark
                     in the eruption cycle this made sense, and while   by  ferry  or  from  cruise  liners  that  circuit  the
                     the primary remit of the MVO must remain the   Lesser Antilles in abundance. Both were destroyed
                     safety of the islanders, we argue here that it can   in the 1995 eruption. The airport WH Bramble
                     and should be used to play a wider role in tourism   (Blackburne) in the north-east is now completely
                     development focused explicitly on the volcano.   unusable and the capital, Plymouth, was destroyed
                        The risks surrounding volcano tourism relate   by  a  succession  of  devastating  mudflows  (see
                     directly to the style of volcanic activity. Basically   Figure 6.3b). At present there is no way onto the
                     there  are  two  kinds  of  volcano,  ones  that  erupt   island  by  ferry.  In  2005  a  new  airport, ‘Gerald’s
                     mostly lava such as the shield volcanoes of Hawai‘i   Airport’, was built on the north side of the island
                     and  the  Galapagos  Islands,  and  those  that  erupt   at a cost of £28M, but it is smaller than the old
                     explosively and catastrophically (e.g. Pinatubo, Mt   one and flights arrive from Antigua via two Twin
                     St  Helens).  The  latter  are  by  far  the  more   Otter aircraft each with a seat capacity of only 18.
                     dangerous  and  account  for  the  majority  of  lives   So, passengers from cruise liners cannot disembark
                     lost  during  eruptions.  Montserrat  falls  into  the   and  inbound  flights  are  volume  constrained.
                     latter category, meaning the risk of injury to the   Helicopter  tours  run  from  Antigua  that  allow
                     casual  visitor  is  much  higher.  However,  it  is   sightseers  to  view  the  volcano  but  do  not  land.
                     important to note that even on Montserrat itself   Presently no charge is made by the island for use
                     the risk is variable, meaning that the northern part   of its air space.
                     of the island is low risk even though the volcano   Clearly much more needs to be done before
                     is on a high state of alert (Figure 6.2). This accurate   the tourist trade can pick up substantially. The bare
                     but  nonetheless  confusing  state  of  affairs  needs   minimum would be a new jetty, but because of
                     very clear and careful external communication to   current hazard restrictions this would need to be
                     potential visitors. A sophisticated mechanism for   on  the  north  of  the  island. A  potential  site  has
                     doing this is at present lacking.          been  identified  on  the  north-west  coast  (Little







       Ch06.indd   89                                                                              3/28/2010   1:27:40 PM
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