Page 399 - A Comprehensive Guide to Solar Energy Systems
P. 399

408  A COmpREHENSIvE GUIDE TO SOLAR ENERGy SySTEmS



                Net energy alone can be misleadingly  large when evaluating  an abundant energy
               resource of poor quality, such as ethanol from corn, or shale oil for which the energy cost of
             fuel production is slightly less than the energy gained from burning it. EROI analysis when
             used with NEA can help to assess the quality of fuels and this gives it the added ability of
             ranking different fuels within given system boundaries over time. By evaluating the inputs
             for the extraction of a resource and the value of the output in the same units, EROI can
             interpret the difference between the effects of technology (which would increase EROI)
             and those of depletion (which would decrease EROI) over time. As it pertains to fuels for
             a society, such as solar pv electricity, EROI is the ratio of the amount of energy delivered
             to society as a useful energy carrier by a chain of processes exploiting a primary energy
             source, to the total energy invested in exploring, extracting, processing, and  delivering that
             energy [12,13]. A primary energy source is a natural form of energy (solar radiation, fos­
             sil fuels, waterfalls, etc.) that can be used to create energy carriers (electricity, gasoline,
             steam, etc.), which are used to fuel work in society [14]. EROI is represented in its simplest
             form by the following equation:

 EROI=Eoutput/Einput                         EROI =  E output  /  E input                (21.1)
                Once the EROI reaches a ratio of unity, 1:1, or lower, in other words when the inputs of
             energy are equal to or greater than the outputs of energy, it is no longer considered use­
             ful to society, unless it is somehow being used to produce a higher quality fuel. Above 1:1,
             however, the impact is nonlinear and as illustrated in Fig. 21.1, shifts in high EROI values
             may have little impact on society, whereas those in low EROI values, especially below 5:1,
             may have far greater impacts.
                Historically, it seems that EROI for oil and gas have been decreasing and that for coal
             has had its ups and downs. Assuming financial costs are related to energy costs, it has been
             estimated that the EROI of global fossil fuels from 1800 to 1920 was 30–40:1, but increased
             to 60:1 for oil and coal and to more than 100:1 for gas during the 1960s. All declined during
             the 1970s and then increased again into the 1990s [15]. Oil and gas subsequently declined
             irregularly to 10:1 and 20–40:1 respectively, while coal increased, also irregularly, in more
             recent years [16]. Current ranges for such fuels are illustrated in Fig. 21.2 and those for
             modern electric power generation, including pv, are in Fig. 21.3.
                It is important to note that the values in Figs. 21.2 and 21.3 should not necessarily be
             taken at face value. This is because of differences in the methods, data, and boundaries
             of studies used to generate them [16]. Also, there is inherently a significant amount of
               assumptions necessary to generate global values of EROI for fuels. Ideally, EROI is most
               informative when given specific and well­defined geographic, temporal, and technolog­
             ical boundaries. It can also be very useful to follow the trend over time. In this regard,
             US oil/gas and oil in general have the only robust body of EROI information currently
             available. Unfortunately, data, research, and personnel for other EROI analyses have been
             scarce and the body of work has been small until 2011 [17]. Since then, however, there has
             been a growing interest in EROI and more analyses are available, in part due to a growing
             body of LCA publications in Europe. This is especially true for solar pv.
   394   395   396   397   398   399   400   401   402   403   404