Page 314 - A First Course In Stochastic Models
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THE RENEWAL FUNCTION                      309

                Theorem 8.1.1 Assume that the probability distribution function F(x) of the inte-
                roccurrence times has a probability density f (x). Then the renewal function M(t)
                satisfies the integral equation
                                              t
                              M(t) = F(t) +   M(t − x)f (x) dx,  t ≥ 0.      (8.1.3)
                                            0
                This integral equation has a unique solution that is bounded on finite intervals.
                Proof  The proof of (8.1.3) is instructive. Fix t > 0. To compute E[N(t)], we
                condition on the time of the first renewal and use that the process probabilistically
                starts over after each renewal. Under the condition that X 1 = x, the random variable
                N(t) is distributed as 1+N(t −x) when 0 ≤ x ≤ t and N(t) is 0 otherwise. Hence,
                by conditioning upon X 1 , we find

                              ∞
                                                           t
                   E[N(t)] =    E[N(t) | X 1 = x]f (x) dx =  E[1 + N(t − x)]f (x) dx,
                             0                           0
                which gives (8.1.3). To prove that the equation (8.1.3) has a unique solution,
                                            t
                suppose that H(t) = F(t) +  H(t − x)f (x) dx, t ≥ 0 for a function H(t)
                                          0
                that is bounded on finite intervals. We substitute this equation repeatedly into itself
                and use the convolution formula
                                              t
                                    F n (t) =  F(t − x)f n−1 (x) dx,
                                            0
                where f k (x) denotes the probability density of F k (x). This gives
                              n           t

                      H(t) =    F k (t) +  H(t − x)f n (x) dx,  n = 1, 2, . . . .  (8.1.4)
                                        0
                             k=1
                Fix now t > 0. Since H(x) is bounded on [0, t], the second term on the right-hand
                side of (8.1.4) is bounded by cF n (t) for some c > 0. Since M(t) < ∞, we have
                                                                           ∞

                F n (t) → 0 as n → ∞. By letting n → ∞ in (8.1.4), we find H(t) =  k=1  F k (t)
                showing that H(t) = M(t).
                  Theorem 8.1.1 allows for the following important generalization.

                Theorem 8.1.2 Assume that F(x) has a probability density f (x). Let a(x) be a
                given, integrable function that is bounded on finite intervals. Suppose the function
                Z(t), t ≥ 0, is defined by the integral equation
                                              t
                               Z(t) = a(t) +  Z(t − x)f (x) dx,  t ≥ 0.      (8.1.5)
                                            0
                Then this equation has a unique solution that is bounded on finite intervals. The
                solution is given by
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