Page 150 - A Practical Companion to Reservoir Stimulation
P. 150

PRACTICAL COMPANION TO RESERVOIR STIMULATION




           EXAMPLE 5-4
                                                                 presented  in Example 5-3 would suggest the lower possible
           Optimum Horizontal Well Length                        bottomhole pressure  (i.e., largest Ap) that would still avoid
                                                                 two-phase or other operational problems.
           For the well in Example 5-3, it is shown that in spite of the
           pressure-dependent skin effect no optimum bottomhole flow-   Solution (Ref. Sections 8-2.8 and 19-2)
           ing pressure can be identified. This is because any horizontal   The economic analysis presented  here uses the Net Present
           well length with that type of inflow performance relationship   Value (NPV) concept. In  terms of  incrementals,  it  can  be
           does not have an inflection point leading to a maximum flow   written as
           rate.  However, it is evident that while flow rates are mono-
           tonically increasing, the values for different well lengths are
           getting nearer at higher pressures. This means that an optimi-                                   (5-12)
           zation, based on incremental revenue and incremental costs,
            is necessary to identify the appropriate well length. This can   where (A$)n is the incremental revenue in year II, i is the time
           be  done  for  any bottomhole  pressure,  although  the  results   value of money (at least inflation rate, preferably the rate of
                                                                 return) and ACost is the incremental cost associated with the
                                                                 investment.
              AP     L      4     Aq            A$    NPV          The basis for the analysis is a 500-ft horizontal well, and
             (Psi)   (fi)                      [ 1000)  (1 000)   the incremental  costs  are  $440/ft.  Table  J-5  contains  the
              300    500   266                                   incremental NPV for various pressure drops and well lengths.
                     750   283     17    6205   255    145       The price of oil was taken as $ I8/STB, and the time value of
                                                                 money as 15%. An example calculation for the results in Table
                    1000   296    30    10950   450    230       J-5 is shown below. (Ap = 600 psi, and a comparison between
                    1250   307    41    14965   61  5   285      a 500-ft well and a 1000-ft well is done.)
                    1500   31 7   51    1861 5   764   324         First, from Eq. J-9, qjo0 = 342 STB/d, and from Eq. J-10,
                                                                 q,ooo = 366 STB/d. Thus, Aq (the daily rate difference) = 24
              600    500   342                                   STB/d, which can be roughly translated to A Np (incremental
                     750   356     14    51 10   21  0   100     annual production)  = 8760 STB. (Even  if  it is not entirely
                    1000   366    24     8760   360    140       steady-state flow for both wells, this difference is a reasonable
                    1250   374    32    11680   480    150       approximation  without respect to the type of flow.)
                                                                   Using $I8/STB and i = 0.15, the incremental net revenue
                    1500   382    40    14600   600    160       discounted to time 0 (for 3 yr) is then
              900    500   378                                    3
                                                                            -
                     750   389     11    401 5   166    56           (A$),l  - (8760) (18)  +  (8760) (18)
                                                                 11 = I          1.15       ( 1.15)2
                    1000   397     19    6935   284     64
                    1250   404    26     9490   389     59                    +  (8760) (18)   = $360 x  lo'.   (5-13)
                    1500   409    31    11315   465     25                       ( 1.15)2
                                                                 However,
             1200    500   399
                                                                        ACost  = (1000 - 500) ft ($440/ft)
                     750   408     9    3285    135     25
                    1000   415     16   5840    239     19                    = $220 x  lo',                (5-14)
                    1250   42 1   22    8030    330      0       resulting in
                    1500   425     26   9490    389    -5 1
                                                                   NPV  = 360 x  lo3 - 220 x  10'  = $140 x  10'.   (J-15)
             1500    500   41 3                                    Figure 5-7 is a plot of the incremental NPV vs. horizontal
                     750   42 1     8   2920    120     10       well length for a number of pressure drops. Since Ap = 1500
                    1000   427     14   51 10   21  0   -1 0     psi is more desirable than any other Ap (see Fig. J-5), then it
                    1250   431     18   6570    270    -60       is obvious that the intended length of 500 ft is very near the
                    1500   435     22   8030    330   -110       best. At 750 ft, the incremental NPV is only $10,000, and it
                                                                 becomes negative for wells of greater length. Thus, a decision
            Table J-+Incremental   NPV for various pressure drops and   to  drill  a  short,  500-ft  well  is justified  by  this  economic
            well lengths for Example  J-4.                       analysis.


            J-10
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