Page 142 - Analysis, Synthesis and Design of Chemical Processes, Third Edition
P. 142

There are more quantitative methods for screening alternatives. One set of methods known as concept
                    screening and concept scoring [4] will be briefly summarized here. More details can be found in Ulrich
                    and Eppinger [4]. These methods are useful in that they allow subjective assessments to be quantified
                    systematically for comparison purposes.


                    In concept screening, a selection matrix is prepared by listing a set of criteria to be used to evaluate the
                    alternatives. Then one alternative is chosen as a reference alternative. This should be an alternative with
                    which the team doing the evaluation is most familiar, perhaps an industry standard. All criteria for the
                    reference standard are assigned a value of zero, meaning “same as.” The criteria for all other alternatives
                    are assigned values of +, meaning “better than”; zero; or –, meaning “worse than.” Then the number of
                    “worse thans” is subtracted from the number of “better thans.” The net score for each alternative provides
                    a relative ranking. Some type of reflection is needed at this stage to determine whether the results make
                    sense and whether each criterion was assigned a reasonable value. The number of alternatives is now
                    reduced, though it is up to those involved to determine how many alternatives survive to the next step. An

                    example  of  concept  screening  is  shown  in Table  4.2.  Here,  alternative  5  is  chosen  as  the  reference
                    alternative. It is observed that alternatives with equal scores are assigned the same rank. To proceed to
                    the  next  step,  we  will  assume  that  only  four  alternatives—those  with  positive  scores—remain  in  the
                    selection process.


                    Table 4.2 Example of Concept Screening























                    In concept scoring, the same matrix is used, but only on those alternatives that have survived the concept
                    screening  process.  The  results  are  now  more  quantitative.  Each  criterion  is  now  assigned  a  relative
                    weight, which reflects the team’s judgment as to its relative importance. A reference alternative is chosen.
                    Then, for each alternative, each criterion is assigned a value from 1 to 5, where 1 = much worse than
                    reference, 2 = worse than reference, 3 = same as reference, 4 = better than reference, and 5 = much better
                    than reference. The score is calculated for each alternative by weighting the evaluations using the relative
                    weights.  Once  again,  some  degree  of  reflection  on  the  result  is  needed  because  this  is  a  subjective
                    process, particularly the assigning of relative weights. The best alternative is the one with the highest

                    score. Because there is a large degree of subjectivity here, care should be exercised when differentiating
                    between  alternatives  with  close  scores. Table  4.3  illustrates  concept  scoring  for  the  four  alternatives
                    chosen during concept screening. Based on this method, alternative 1 is chosen for further study, although
                    alternative  7  is  close.  Once  again,  small  differences  in  total  score  may  not  be  significant.  Also,
                    information  obtained  during  product  development may  change  the  relative  weights  and/or  individual
                    scores sufficiently so that the total score changes enough and alternative 7 is actually the best choice.


                    Table 4.3 Example of Concept Scoring
   137   138   139   140   141   142   143   144   145   146   147