Page 24 - Applied Probability
P. 24

1. Basic Principles of Population Genetics
                                                                            1
                                                         1
                                                                                     1
                                                 1
                                             =
                                                  q n−1 + r n−1 −
                                                 2
                                                                    3
                                                                            3
                                                                                     2
                                                                 2
                                                         2
                                                          1
                                                   1
                                             = − q n−1 + p
                                                   2
                                                          2
                                                   1
                                             = − (q n−1 − p) .   3     2  q n−1 + r n−1     + p  7
                                                   2
                              Continuing in this manner,
                                                                   n
                                                                1
                                                  q n − p =   −     (q 0 − p).
                                                                2
                              Thus the difference between q n and p diminishes by half each generation,
                              and q n approaches p in a zigzag manner. The male frequency r n displays
                              the same behavior but lags behind q n by one generation. In contrast to the
                              autosomal case, it takes more than one generation to achieve equilibrium.
                              However, equilibrium is still approached relatively fast. In the extreme case
                              that q 0 = .75 and r 0 = .12, Figure 1.2 plots q n for a few representative
                              generations.
                                       1.0
                                       0.8
                                            •
                                    Frequency  0.6  0.4  •  •  •  •  •  •  •   •    •   •
                                       0.2


                                       0.0
                                            0        2        4       6        8        10
                                                              Generation

                                     FIGURE 1.2. Approach to Equilibrium of q n as a Function of n

                                At equilibrium how do we calculate the frequencies of the various geno-
                              types? Suppose we have two alleles A 1 and A 2 with equilibrium frequencies
                              p 1 and p 2 . Then the female genotypes A 1 /A 1 , A 1 /A 2 , and A 2 /A 2 have fre-
                                                     2
                                       2
                              quencies p ,2p 1p 2 , and p , respectively, just as in the autosomal case. In
                                       1
                                                     2
                              males the hemizygous genotypes A 1 and A 2 clearly have frequencies p 1
                              and p 2 .
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