Page 222 - Assurance of Sterility for Sensitive Combination Products and Materials
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Risk to the patient—Quantifying assurance of sterility   201


              a large proportion of these skin scales will be contaminated with species of
              the normal skin flora [5]. A key point, however, is skin flora are mainly non-
              pathogenic micrococci, diphtheroids, and staphylococci. Other organisms
              (e.g., Salmonella and Escherichia coli), not part of the resident skin flora, may also
              be carried transiently on the skin surface and become a source of contamina-
              tion [5]. This source of contamination is well recognized and manufacturers
              utilize good hygienic practices to control this source of bioburden.
                 Given these factors and contamination from skin flora is mainly non-
              pathogenic, the probability of viable pathogenic organisms is conservatively
                                          −1
              estimated at 0.5. P4 = 0.5 (5 × 10 ).
                 Thus, the estimated overall probability of infection for the conser-
              vative case and more aggressive case of the examples above is shown in
              Table 7.9 for a terminal sterilization process of a process that can achieve
                         −6
              an SAL of 10 .
                 The analysis alone (see also below) concludes in the conservative case
              scenario, there is a minor reduction in the overall probability of risk of in-
              fection while the more aggressive case predicts a substantial decrease in the
              risk of infection.
                 As noted in the introduction of Section 7.4.1, the application of this
                                                                         −4
              analysis could be applied for the special case of using an SAL of 10  for
                                                            −6
              a  product  that  cannot  withstand  sterilization  to  10 . This  is  shown  in
                                                                    −6
              Table 7.9B. The more aggressive case estimates an SAL of 10 . This puts
              into perspective the low patient risk of this scenario.


              Table 7.9  An estimated overall probability of infection.
                                    Conservative case     More aggressive case

              Panel (A)
              P1                    1 × 10 –6             1 × 10 –6
                                                                  −1
              P2                    1                     0.1 (1 × 10 )
                                                                  −1
              P3                    1                     0.2 (2 × 10 )
                                            −1
                                                                  −1
              P4                    0.5 (5 × 10 )         0.5 (5 × 10 )
              Overall probability   5 × 10 −7             1 × 10 −8
              Panel (B)
              P1                    1 × 10 –4             1 × 10 –4
                                                                  −1
              P2                    1                     0.1 (1 × 10 )
                                                                  −1
              P3                    1                     0.2 (2 × 10 )
                                                                  −1
                                            −1
              P4                    0.5 (5 × 10 )         0.5 (5 × 10 )
              Overall probability   5 × 10 −5             1 × 10 −6
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