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economic growth, extensive and intensive 617












            transportation that has transformed the global division of  worldwide fossil fuel consumption, global warming, and
            labor (making it possible to a greater extent than ever  various other kinds of environmental damage. It remains
            before for people to depend on very distant places even  to be seen whether less-damaging energy sources can
            for essentials), as chemical fertilizer and pesticides that  become a significant part of the world’s power. None of
            have raised yields per acre to unheard-of levels (greatly  this means we are likely to see an end to economic
            reducing the extent to which the finite supply of land con-  growth any time soon, but it does mean that how we
            strains production), as plastics and other new materials  think about growth and its costs may change. Even
            that substitute for other resources, and as machinery that  intensive growth may no longer be the “free lunch” it has
            substitutes for the muscles of billions of people and ani-  sometimes seemed to be.
            mals.Thus labor supply does not currently limit produc-
                                                                                               Kenneth L. Pomeranz
            tion very much, either; the problem, on the contrary, is a
            surplus of workers, or workers who are not in the places  See also Agrarian Era; Foraging (Paleolithic) Era; Indus-
            where they are needed.                              trialization; Industrial Technologies; Modern Era; Trade
                                                                Cycles
            Economic Growth in the
            Contemporary World
            While global wealth is very unequally distributed, and                  Further Reading
            poverty remains a huge problem in much of the world,  Christian, D. (2004). Maps of time: An introduction to big history. Berke-
            the modern economic era is unparalleled in at least two  ley: University of California Press.
                                                                Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, germs, and steel:The fate of human societies.
            ways. First, the world economy has grown to the point
                                                                  New York: W.W. Norton.
            where everybody could theoretically have more material  DeVries, J. (1994).The industrious revolution and the industrial revolu-
            goods than even the privileged had in most societies  tion. Journal of Economic History, 54(2), 249–270.
                                                                Elvin, M. (1973). The pattern of the Chinese past. Stanford, CA: Stanford
            until quite recently. Second, the major constraints on  University Press.
            even further growth are probably not so much the old  Flinn, M.W. (1984). A history of the British coal industry:Vol. 2. 1700–
                                                                  1830, the Industrial Revolution. Oxford, UK: Clarendon Press, 1984.
            ones of limited land, labor, and capital, as they are the
                                                                Jones, E. (1988). Growth recurring: Economic change in world history.
            environmental damage that may result from continued   New York: Oxford University Press.
            extension of our energy-intensive production methods. At  Maddison,A. (2001). The world economy:A millennial perspective. Paris:
                                                                  Development Center of the Organisation for Economic Co-Operation
            the moment, the threat of global climate change from  and Development.
            continued production of greenhouse gases (a byproduct  McNeill, J. R. (2000). Something new under the sun:An environmental his-
                                                                  tory of the twentieth century. New York: W.W. Norton.
            of all fossil-fuel burning) is probably the most widely dis-
                                                                Mokyr, J. (1990). The lever of riches:Technological creativity and economic
            cussed, but the long-term effects of making, burning,  progress. New York: Oxford University Press.
            using, and dumping many other chemicals invented in  Pacey, A. (1990). Technology in world civilization. Oxford, UK: Basil
                                                                  Blackwell.
            the last two centuries—most of them, in one way or  Pomeranz, K. (2000). The great divergence: China, Europe and the mak-
            another, derivatives of coal or oil—pose a number of  ing of the modern world economy. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University
                                                                  Press.
            other poorly understood threats. In the last few decades,
                                                                Sahlins, M. (1972). Stone Age economics. London: Tavistock.
            major economies have become less fossil-fuel intensive,  Simmons, I. G. (Ed.). (1996). Changing the face of the earth: Culture, envi-
            meaning they burn fewer fossil fuels per dollar of eco-  ronment, history (2nd ed.). Oxford, UK: Basil Blackwell.
                                                                Watson,A. (1983). Agricultural innovation in the early Islamic world:The
            nomic activity. Decreasing the energy intensity of the  diffusion of crops and farming techniques, 700–1100. Cambridge,
            economy is also a high priority for China, the world’s  UK: Cambridge University Press.
                                                                Wrigley, E.A. (1988). Continuity, chance, and change:The character of the
            largest developing economy. But because the total
                                                                  Industrial Revolution in England. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Uni-
            amount of economic activity continues to grow, so do  versity Press.
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