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Prediction of Resilience                                         17

                             of resilience, we need to better understand how multiple factors might
                               interrelate or interact.


                             Enlistment Standards

                             Enlistment standards should be directly informed by research fi ndings
                             related to performance and outcome. While this may seem noncontroversial
                             as a point of principle, it is less straightforward in practical terms. Simply put,
                             potentially useful raw data are too often and in too many ways left  inacces-

                             sible to military researchers. To correct this problem, the National Research
                             Council (2006) has identified the need to improve military data manage-

                             ment such that data from military recruitment and enlistment processing
                             stations can be linked with other datasets of interest (e.g., attrition, health,


                             training, and promotion). This would, in effect, provide a database to sup-

                             port the identification of enlistment standards with demonstrable relevance
                             to outcome. With this in mind, we recommend that updated processes be
                             developed to support information collected at recruitment and military
                             enlistment processing stations. Enlistment data currently recorded using
                             paper and pencil forms should instead be gathered or entered by the use of
                             computer-administered forms on a secure Web site.


                             Psychological Screening

                             The primary purpose of this chapter has been to call attention to the need

                             for better military psychological screening to identify individuals who are
                             vulnerable or resilient to stress. By the end of this year, the Lackland BQ
                             will have been administered to approximately 32,000 U.S. Air Force recruits.

                             The resulting data will then be assessed to determine their predictive value

                             with respect to attrition. This will provide a timely context for updated cost–

                             benefit analysis, review, and practical directives. We would recommend that
                             these eff orts be led by a joint services panel of subject matter experts and a
                             newly convened National Research Council working group. Key objectives
                             should include careful consideration of newly accrued data and analyses and

                             the formulation of specific recommendations for the improvement of mili-
                             tary psychological screening instruments and procedures.
                                It is reasonable to consider whether or how existing measures of resilience
                             might be used for preenlistment or early enlistment screening. Because the
                             Deployment Risk and Resilience Inventory (King et al., 2003) was designed
                             specifically to evaluate personnel returning from deployment, it would likely

                             be diffi  cult to adapt to the context of early screening. However, other meas-
                             ures might be more useful. For example, it may be relatively easy and helpful
                             to adapt and implement existing measures of hardiness (e.g., Bartone, 1999).








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