Page 105 - Carbon Capitalism and Communication Confronting Climate Crisis
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7  BIG DATA, OPEN DATA AND THE CLIMATE RISK MARKET  91

            double win: helping to stabilise economies as firms navigate the uncertain
            weather conditions that climate change brings and simultaneously making
            substantial profits that contribute to overall economic growth, particularly
            in the financial centres of the global economy.
              Many liberal economists would argue with Stiglitz (2012, pp. 42–43)
            that within a capitalist economy market failure occurs when there is either
            imperfect competition, externalities (when a group is affected—positively
            or negatively—by others’ economic activity), information asymmetry or
            when risk markets are absent. Some might therefore argue that the
            development of climate risk markets and the increasing availability of free
            meteorological data might counter some of the market failure problems
            posed by climate change.
              However, in relation to the mitigation of climate change there are risks
            in the development of weather derivative markets that could lead to neg-
            ative societal outcomes. This is because they enable the finance industry to
            generate substantial profits from products that aim to create a sense of
            security for end-users concerned about climate instability, allowing them to
            be “less concerned, or not concerned at all, about the impact of weather on
            cashflow or return” (Dischel 2002, p. 19). These climate risk markets in
            effect risk reducing the incentive of powerful economic actors to take and
            demand significant action to mitigate climate change. Such a scenario
            could increase the negative impact of the actions of those benefiting from
            these markets, at the expense of the majority, particularly those most
            vulnerable to climate instability. As more speculators enter the market
            (Thind 2014), the increase in climatic uncertainty as mitigation efforts fail
            also presents a growing opportunity to extract profit from the crisis.
              While climate risk markets have many interested parties advocating on
            their behalf, there are others that are more sceptical. Melinda Cooper
            (2010), for example, argues that weather derivatives are “a claim over the
            future in all its unknowability—a claim over event worlds that have yet to
            actualize in space and time” (p. 181). In her analysis of some of these deep
            seated uncertainties, Cooper (2010) draws on documents produced in
            2008 by the US Government’s National Intelligence Council and the US
            non-profit Center for a New American Security to argue that, in the world
            of US strategic scenario planning, “turbulence” in relation to financial
            markets, climate change, and energy (p. 169) is no longer perceived as
            something that there is a possibility of managing and avoiding; rather,
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