Page 164 - Communication and the Evolution of Society
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14      .                  Historical  Materialism

         haves—a  system  that  conforms  at  every  given  stage  to  the  logic
         of  its  acquired  structures.  Many  paths  can  lead  to  the  same  level
         of  development;  wnilinear  developments  are  all  the  less  probable,
         the  more  numerous  the  evolutionary  units.  Moreover,  there  is
         no  guarantee  of  uninterrupted  development;  rather,  it  depends
         on  accidental  constellations  whether  a  society  remains  unproduc-
         tively  stuck  at  the  threshold  of  development  or  whether  it  solves
         its  system  problems  by  developing  new  structures.  Finally,  retro-
         &ressions  in  evolution  are  possible  and  in  many  cases  empirically
         corroborated;  of  course,  a  society  will  not  fall  back  behind  a  level
         of  development,  once  it  is  established,  without  accompanying
         phenomena  of  forced  regression;  this  can  be  seen,  for  example,
         in  the  case  of  Fascist  Germany.  It  is  not  evolutionary  processes
         that  are  irreversible  but  the  structural  sequences  that  a  society
         must  run  through  7f  and  to  the  extent  that  it  is  involved  in
         evolution.
           3.  Naturally  the  most  controversial  point  is  the  teleology  that,
         according  to  historical  materialism,  is  supposed  to  be  inherent
         in  history.  When  we  speak  of  evolution,  we  do  in  fact  mean
         cumulative  processes  that  exhibit  a  direction.  Neoevolutionism
         regards  increasing  complexity  as  an  acceptable  directional  crite-
         rion.  The  more  states  a  system  can  assume,  the  more  complex
         the  environment  with  which  it  can  cope  and  against  which  it  can
         maintain  itself.  Marx  too  attributed  great  significance  to  the
         category  of  the  “social  division  of  labor’;  by  this  he  meant
         processes  of  system  differentiation  and  of  integration  of  func-
         tionally  specified  subsystems  at  a  higher  level,  that  is,  processes
         that  increase  the  internal  complexity—and  thereby  the  adaptive
         capacity—of  a  society.  However,  as  a  social-evolutionary  direc-
         tional  criterion,  complexity  has  a  number  of  disadvantages:

           a.  Complexity  is  a  multidimensional  concept.  A  society  can  be  com-
         plex  with  respect  to  size,  interdependence,  and  variability,  with  respect
         to  achievements  of  generalization,  integration,  and  respecification.  As
         a  result,  complexity  comparisons  can  become  blurred,  and  questions
         of  global  classification  from  the  viewpoint  of  complexity  undecidable.*
           b.  Moreover,  there  is  no  clear  relation  between  complexity  and  self-
         maintenance.  There  are  increases  in  complexity  that  turn  out  to  be
         evolutionary  dead  ends.  But  without  this  connection,  increases  in  com-
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