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               nonhazardous, and nontoxic, thus minimizing concerns about risks
               to workers’ health and potential environmental liabilities.


          The Challenges of Decision Making
               The ultimate purpose of environmental performance assessment is
               to support decisions, whether business decisions by manufacturers
               or policy decisions by governmental and other organizations. It is
               important that such decisions be informed by a generic, life-cycle
               framework that recognizes the multitude of impacts that may affect
               stakeholders (see Chapter 10). Decisions based on considerations that
               are too narrow (e.g., considering only initial costs, or focusing only on
               recyclability) are bound to be flawed. On the other hand, decisions
               that attempt to factor in an overly broad range of outcomes (e.g., plan-
               etary health, societal welfare) are likely to become bogged down in
               uncertainty and confusion. A judicious middle point between these
               extremes is desirable.
                   One useful means of pruning the complexity of a decision problem
               is to identify first-order impacts that really matter to the decision-mak-
               ing organization and that are significantly influenced by the decision
               outcome. There are a number of key questions that need to be asked:

                    • What is the minimal set of environmental metrics that are ade-
                      quate to represent the design’s environmental performance?
                    • For each metric, can the degree of environmental improve-
                      ment associated with each design option be assessed in quan-
                      titative terms?
                    • Do side effects of performance improvement need to be
                      explicitly considered; for example, might an emission reduc-
                      tion be offset by an increase in risk associated with the substi-
                      tute technology (e.g., waste incineration)?
                    • Can the analysis focus on the immediate impacts of the
                      design change only, or do system-wide risks associated with
                      materials and energy requirements need to be taken into
                      account?
                    • Is it necessary and feasible, either implicitly or explicitly, to
                      assign relative importance ratings or monetary equivalents to
                      non-commensurate types of impacts?
                    • Is there a unifying conceptual model that defines the activi-
                      ties for which both cost and environmental performance esti-
                      mates are developed? If not, are the underlying models for
                      cost and environmental assessment compatible?
                    • How is uncertainty in cost or environmental assessments rep-
                      resented and managed? Does the range of uncertainty cast
                      doubt upon the validity of the decision process?
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