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124     PART III • Orbital-Scale Climate Change



                     ε=0      ε=0.06                                            Circular motion (revolution)


                       Eccentricity
                                                                                 Wobbling motion
                    0.00  0.03 0.06                                                (precession)
                     0


                                                                                  Angle
                                                                                  of tilt
                   0.5
                 Myr ago           413,000                                   Spinning motion

                                                                                (rotation)
                                    years
                   1.0
                                                            FIGURE 7-8 Earth’s wobble In addition to its rapid (daily)
                                                            rotational spin and its slower (yearly) revolution around the
                                                            Sun, Earth wobbles slowly, like a top, with one full wobble
                                   100,000                  every 25,700 years.
                                    years
                   1.5
                                                            Earth’s axis of rotation through a circular path, with one
                                                            full turn every 25,700 years. Today Earth rotates around
        FIGURE 7-7 Long-term changes in eccentricity The    an axis that points to the North Star (Polaris), but over
        eccentricity ( ) of Earth’s orbit varies at periods of 100,000  time the wobbling motion causes the axis of rotation to
        and 413,000 years.                                  point to other celestial reference points (Figure 7-9).
                                                            Earth wobbles very slowly; it revolves 25,700 times
                                                            around the Sun and rotates almost 10 million times on
        7-5 Precession of the Solstices and Equinoxes
        around Earth’s Orbit                                its axis during the time it takes to complete just a single
                                                            wobble.
        The positions of the solstices and equinoxes in relation to  A second kind of precessional motion is known as
        the eccentric orbit have not always been fixed at their pre-  precession of the ellipse. In this case, the entire ellip-
        sent locations (see Figure 7-2). Instead, they have slowly  tically shaped orbit of the Earth rotates, with the long
        shifted through time with respect to the eccentric orbit  and short axes of the ellipse turning slowly in space
        and the perihelion (close-pass) and aphelion (distant-pass)  (Figure 7-10). This motion is even slower than the
        positions. Although Hipparchus in ancient Greece first  wobbling motion of axial precession.
        noticed these changes, the French mathematician, scien-  The combined effects of these two precessional
        tist, and philosopher Jean Le Rond d’Alembert was the  motions (wobbling of the axis and turning of the
        first to understand them in the eighteenth century.  ellipse) cause the solstices and equinoxes to move
           The cause of these changes lies in a long-term wob-  around Earth’s orbit, with one full 360° orbit around
        bling similar to that of a top. Tops typically move with  the Sun completed approximately every 22,000 years
        three superimposed motions (Figure 7-8). They spin  (Figure 7-11). This combined movement, called the
        very rapidly (rotate) around a tilted axis. They also  precession of the equinoxes, describes the absolute
        revolve with a slower near-circular motion across the  motion of the equinoxes and solstices in the larger ref-
        surface on which they spin, with many spins (rotations)  erence frame of the universe. It consists of a strong
        for each complete revolution. Finally, tops also wobble,  cycle near 23,000 years and a weaker one near 19,000
        gradually leaning in different directions through time.  years, with an average of one cycle every 21,700 years.
        This wobbling motion in not caused by changes in the  For the rest of this book, we will concentrate mainly on
        amount by which the top leans (its angle of tilt), but  the strong precession cycle near 23,000 years.
        rather by changes in the direction in which it leans.  The precession of the equinoxes involves complicated
           Earth’s wobbling motion, called axial precession, is  angular motions in three-dimensional space, and these
        caused by the gravitational pull of the Sun and Moon on  motions need to be reduced to a simple, easy-to-use
        the slight bulge in Earth’s diameter at the equator. Axial  mathematical form that can be plotted against time like
        precession can also be visualized as a slow turning of  the changes in tilt shown in Figure 7-4. To accomplish
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