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CHA PTER F IVE
                                   can explain only a small portion ofwhat it purports to explain. For
                                   example, the theory cannot explain the persistently large gap in
                                                                      20
                                   wealth between rich and poor countries. Despite these serious limi-
                                   tations, and lacking any satisfactory alternative, the neoclassical the-
                                   ory is considered by most economists to be generally correct because
                                   it does what it is meant to do. 21
                                     Another criticism is that the original theory neglected human capi-
                                   tal and knowledge skills. Work by Edward Denison and others dem-
                                   onstrated the crucial role ofeducation in economic growth and hence
                                                                            22
                                   the importance ofinvestment in human capital. Other studies have
                                   indicated that, due to positive investment externalities, investment in
                                   physical and human capital may contribute more to economic growth
                                   than the original neoclassical theory suggested; although investment
                                   improves the productivity ofthe investing firm, technological and
                                   other spillovers can also benefit other national firms and even the
                                   entire economy. For example, such positive externalities may explain
                                   why, since World War II, the return on capital investment in the in-
                                   dustrialized countries has been much greater than neoclassical theory
                                   had predicted. Research in industrial organization, which emphasizes
                                   the importance ofincreasing returns to scale and the crucial role of
                                   research and development (R & D), has raised doubts about the basic
                                   assumptions ofneoclassical growth theory. These ideas and others
                                   have been incorporated by Romer and Lucas into the new (endoge-
                                   nous) theory ofeconomic growth.

                                   The New Endogenous Growth Theory. Technological innovation and
                                   advances in knowledge are at the core of the differences between the
                                   neoclassical model and the new endogenous growth theory.  23
                                   Whereas the neoclassical model builds on only two factors of produc-
                                   tion, (labor and capital), treats technology or knowledge as an exoge-
                                   nous factor, and assumes that progress in technology is produced by
                                   random scientific and technological breakthroughs, the new theory

                                    20
                                      Maurice Obstfeld and Kenneth Rogoff, Foundations of International Macroeco-
                                   nomics (Cambridge: MIT Press, 1996), 473.
                                    21
                                      Mankiw, Romer, and Weil, “A Contribution to the Empirics ofEconomic
                                   Growth.”
                                    22
                                      Cited in Sachs and Larrain, Macroeconomics in the Global Economy, 558.
                                    23
                                      Many, ifnot most, ofthe central ideas in the new growth theory had been set forth
                                   earlier by other economists, including Joseph Schumpeter, Kenneth Arrow, Christopher
                                   Freeman, Richard Nelson, and Sidney Winter. A valuable history and critique ofthe
                                   theory is in Richard Nelson, “How New Is New Growth Theory?” Challenge 40, no.
                                   5 (September/October 1997): 29–58. Nelson himselfattributes much ofthe new think-
                                   ing about economic growth to Moses Abramovitz.
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