Page 179 - Introduction to Paleobiology and The Fossil Record
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166  INTRODUCTION TO PALEOBIOLOGY AND THE FOSSIL RECORD




                                                                      30
                                              estimated total



                                                            asymptote  20
                             collector
                             curve                                   Taxa (95% confidence)
                         New species                                  10








                                                                            100  200  300   400  500  600  700
                                       Effort                       (b)                 Specimens
                        (a)
                        Figure 7.3  (a) The classic collector curve showing the sigmoid (or logistic) shape of the curve of
                        cumulative new species plotted against effort (number of specimens collected/number of days
                        spent looking/number of investigators), with a rapid rise and then a tailing off to an asymptote.
                        (b) Rarefaction curve that shows the number of species likely to be identified from samples of a

                        particular size. (b, based on Hammer & Harper 2005.)








                      foraminifera species died out (Fig. 7.4).       smearing of the record happens, and it is now
                      However, should a paleontologist describe       termed the Signor–Lipps effect in their honor
                      this as an example of catastrophic or gradual   (see also p. 26). The Signor–Lipps effect can
                      extinction? A gradualist would argue that the   make a sudden mass extinction seem gradual
                      extinction lasts for more than 0.5 myr, too     (Fig. 7.5b).
                      long to be the result of an instant event. A      These kinds of problems are especially
                      catastrophist would say that the killing lasted   likely for organisms such as dinosaurs. Their
                      for 1–1000 years, and would argue that the      bones are preserved in continental sediments,
                      stepped pattern in Fig. 7.4 is the result of    which are deposited sporadically, and speci-
                      incomplete preservation, incomplete collect-    mens are large and rare. Nevertheless, two
                      ing or reworking of sediment by burrowers.      teams attempted large-scale fi eld sampling in
                      More precise dating and more precise assess-    Montana to establish once and for all whether
                      ment of sampling problems are needed to         the dinosaurs had drifted to extinction over
                      sharpen the defi nitions.                        5–10 myr, the view of the gradualists, or
                        The rock record can be misleading (see p.     whether they had survived at full vigor to the
                      70), and gradual extinctions might look cata-   last minute of the Cretaceous Period, when
                      strophic and catastrophic extinctions gradual   they were catastrophically wiped out. Need-
                      (Fig. 7.5). If there is a gap in the rock record,   less to say, one team found evidence for a
                      especially at a crucial time line such as the KT   long-term die-off, and the other team demon-
                      boundary, species ranges are cut off artifi cially   strated sudden extinction.
                      and the pattern looks sudden (Fig. 7.5a). The     The problem was not that either team had
                      opposite effect, an apparently gradual pattern,   done their work badly, but that the fossils
                      can happen because paleontologists will never   were still too scattered, and the dating of the

                      find the very last fossil of a species. Phil Signor   rocks was not good enough, to be sure. Geol-
                      and Jere Lipps showed how this backward         ogists work in millions of years, and yet
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