Page 211 - Lean six sigma demystified
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Chapter 5  Redu C ing   d efe C t S  with   Six   Sigm a          189


                               prove their pet theory or justify their actions. Only after a long struggle do
                               they begin to learn how to use data as a guide to clear thinking and action.
                               I’ve always liked the quote: “He uses statistics like a drunk uses a light
                               post, for support not illumination.” In Lean Six Sigma this holds true far
                               too often.
                                  Knowing what to measure and how to measure it makes a complicated
                               world much less so. If you learn how to look at data in the right way, you
                               can explain riddles that otherwise might have seemed impossible. Compa-
                               nies generate lots of data about orders, sales, purchases, payments, and so
                               on. The bigger the company, the more data they have and the less likely
                               they are to use it. Figure out what data is useful and use it. Figure out what
                               data isn’t useful and stop collecting it.
                             2. Ask quirky questions. If you’re focused on why things go wrong, ask: “What
                               are we doing right? Who is already doing this right?” If you focus on why
                               things are going right, focus on what’s wrong and start with the “worst
                               first.” In Freakonomics, Levit stopped asking why crime rates have fallen
                               since 1990. He started asking what kind of individuals are most likely to
                               commit crimes and then asked, “Why are they disappearing from the pop-
                               ulation?” His answer to that question is startling, but instructive of his
                               method: “Let the data lead you.”
                             3. Don’t mistake correlation for causality. The United States spends 2.5 times
                               more on health care than any other country, yet Americans aren’t health-
                               ier than other countries. Affluent women have a higher incidence of breast
                               cancer than poor women. Does wealth cause breast cancer? Does health
                               care cause illness?
                                  Dramatic effects often have distant, even subtle, causes. Six Sigma looks for

                               direct causes and effects, but systemic effects can amplify subtle causes
                               into dramatic ones.
                             4. Question conventional wisdom. The conventional wisdom is often wrong. If
                               conventional  wisdom  were  correct,  then  most  problems  would  have
                               already been solved. You can’t get new insights from old ways of thinking.
                             5. Respect the complexity of incentives. Incentives are the cornerstone of mod-
                               ern life. In Lean Six Sigma people are rewarded for following systems that
                               cause defects, delays, and cost. Humans will always find ways to beat the
                               system. Rely on it.

                             The moral of the story: “Make data your friend,” says Hopkins. I’d say let it
                           be your guide.
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