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4. MEDIA CONSUMPTION AND PERCEPTIONS OF SOCIAL REALITY         75

        evaluative judgments. In those experiments, which tested aspects of the
        Socratic effect (thinking about logically related beliefs makes those beliefs
        more consistent; McGuire, 1960), they showed that the accessibility of
        beliefs relating to premises increased the consistency between the beliefs
        in the premises and beliefs in the conclusions.

           Judgments of Set Size and Probability. Set-size judgments pertain to
        judgments of the extent to which a particular category occurs within a
        larger, superordinate category (e.g., the percentage of women [subordi-
        nate category] in the U.S. population [superordinate category]; Manis,
        Shedler, Jonides, & Nelson, 1993). Probability judgments pertain to esti-
        mates of likelihood. A finding that has been documented consistently is
        the relation between the accessibility of a construct and judgments of set
        size and probability (Sherman & Corty, 1984). In their seminal work on
        the availability heuristic, Tversky and Kahneman (1973) demonstrated that
        people tend to infer the frequency of a class or the probability of occur-
        rence on the ease with which a relevant example can be recalled. For
        example, participants in one experiment estimated that words beginning
        with k occur more frequently in the English language than words having k
        as the third letter, even though the opposite is true. Presumably, words
        beginning with  k are easier to recall because of how words tend to be
        organized in memory (by initial letters).

        Media Effects and Accessibility Consequences

        The three types of judgments just discussed, and their relation to accessi-
        bility, by no means exhaust the discussion of the types of judgments that
        have been shown to be influenced by the accessibility of information (for
        a review, see Higgins & King, 1981). Rather, those judgments are singled
        out because of their relevance to the types of judgments that are typically
        used in media effects studies.

           Effects of News Reports on Issue Perceptions.  One domain in which
        information accessibility has been implicated is that of how information
        about particular issues presented in news reports (e.g., television, news-
        papers) affects judgments about those issues (e.g., attitudes, likelihood
        estimates). For example, research by Zillmann and colleagues has shown
        that information presented in the form of exemplars (e.g., case studies,
        vivid examples) tends to influence judgments to a greater degree than
        does more accurate but pallid base-rate information (for a review, see
        chapter 2). This general finding has been replicated for a variety of exem-
        plar conditions, including manipulating the proportion of exemplars
        that are consistent with a story’s focus (Zillmann, Gibson, Sundar, &
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