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STABILITY OF UNSATURATED SOIL SLOPES 107
              Leach and Herbert [10] developed a finite difference semi-empirically based
            multi-layer  model  to  predict  and  identify  possible  changes  in  piezometric
            pressure  resulting  from  extreme  rainfall  events  with  a  duration  of  less  than  1
            hour.  The  governing  two-dimensional  time-variant  groundwater  flow  equation
            used  to  describe  the  changes  in  pressure  head  (h)  with  time  in  a  continuous
            aquifer having variable values of the specific storage (S ) and the saturated water
                                                        s
            permeability (k), is:

                                                                         (4.4)


            In a fixed slope geometry, the response to rainfall is a direct function of the ratio
            k/S . The higher the value of the ratio, the faster the heads will rise and decay,
              s
            and  the  shorter  will  be  the  response  time  of  the  system  to  storm  events.
            Parameters  used  in  the  model  were  obtained  and  adjusted  from  back-analysed
            rainfall  records.  As  a  constant  saturated  permeability  value  is  assumed,  this
            approach  may  give  rise  to  misleading  predictions  in  unsaturated  soil  regimes
            which are commonly present in Hong Kong. In addition, transient water flow due
            to various rainfall intensities are not considered.
              Anderson  and  Pope  [11]  incorporated  unsaturated  flow  into  a  hydrological
            model  to  investigate  the  stability  of  a  typical  slope  in  Hong  Kong.  In  the
            unsaturated  flow  zone,  water  movement  was  assumed  to  be  vertical  (one-
            dimensional),  whilst  in  the  saturated  zone,  water  could  flow  in  both  horizontal
            and vertical directions. Water permeability was no longer a constant value in the
            unsaturated  zone  and  it  depended  on  the  degree  of  saturation.  Thus  a  soil-
            moisture permeability relation for the specific soils was defined in their analysis.
            Pore  pressure  and  suction  predicted  by  the  model  were  adopted  as  input
            parameters  for  limit  equilibrium  stability  calculations.  They  showed  that  the
            minimum  factor  of  safety  occurred  when  the  storm  duration  just  exceeded  one
            day,  thereafter  it  remained  approximately  constant  for  the  4-day  duration
            considered. In their analyses, the flow and stability calculations were treated in a
            completely uncoupled manner, similar to the approach adopted by Thomas and
            Rees [14]. However, advances have been made recently to fully couple flow and
            deformation analyses in unsaturated soils (Thomas and He [15]).
              In practice, the ground conditions in the unsaturated region which may affect
            the groundwater level at any point are generally very complex and it is difficult
            to predict reliably the pore pressure distributions for stability calculations. The
            current knowledge of the influence of transient seepage under various boundary
            and  ground  conditions  and  hydrogeological  regimes  on  slope  stability
            calculations is relatively poor compared with other elements of geomechanics. In
            this paper, a finite element parametric study of transient flow has been carried out
            to  investigate  the  influence  of  various  rainfall  events,  initial  ground  conditions
            and water permeability on transient seepage in unsaturated soils and hence the soil
            slope stability. A typical steep, unsaturated slope in Hong Kong has been used for
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