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                    Cost Implications and Financial Trending                                     219


                                         Cable & Wireless USA, Inc., plans to install DWDM multiplexers
                                       in 60 metropolitan areas across the country. The plan calls for the
                                       first 60 cities to be completed between 2000 and 2001. Because of
                                       such rapid deployments, research houses expect North American
                                       carrier purchases of local DWDM equipment to increase from $115
                                       million to $923 million in 2003, as shown in Figure 9-2.
                                         As this ramp-up on the local loop occurs, the source of network
                                       bottlenecks could very well shift again. Corporations and employees
                                       can fill this bandwidth with various multimedia applications, such
                                       as videoconferencing. Services may quickly use the extra capacity in
                                       the long-haul network, and suppliers will be looking for ways to push
                                       DWDM capacity even higher.




                                       It Is in the Glass


                                       Optical fever has swept Wall Street and Silicon Valley. Internet traf-
                                       fic doubles every three months, placing an insatiable demand for
                                       bandwidth with which it is tough for the providers to keep pace. The
                                       demand has brought the once high-minded and academic discipline
                                       of light physics from the back room of laboratory research into the





                                           1,000,000
                    Figure 9-2
                    Increased                900,000
                    installation of          800,000
                    DWDM                     700,000
                                         in US $,000  500,000
                    equipment.               600,000


                                             400,000
                                             300,000
                                             200,000
                                             100,000
                                                   0
                                                         2000         2001         2002         2003


                                                                        DWDM EQUIPMENT
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