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                     32                                                                      Chapter 2


                                     expensive and the cost of fiber to the desk is going to be higher, the
                                     need to rewire every time a new speed is achieved can be minimized.
                                     Over the longer term, the use of fiber to the desk is likely a less
                                     expensive solution. Unfortunately, local management does not see
                                     this point yet. Therefore, buildings continue to be wired with copper
                                     and rewired when speed increases are needed. Single-mode fiber to
                                     the desk will support speeds of up to 10 Gbps today without any
                                     wavelength-division multiplexing (WDM). Think of the possibilities
                                     with WDM.
                                        Figure 2-3 illustrates the growth in capacity of fiberoptics by
                                     wavelength and the capacity potential for each of the standards-
                                     based services.




                                     What About the Local Carrier?


                                     If, on the other hand, a telecommunications carrier decides to build
                                     out infrastructure in the local community, the issue will be less com-
                                     plex. Because carriers serve many more users and charge for the



                  Figure 2-3
                  Growth and              1000
                  capacities of
                  fiberoptics over
                  time (Lucent
                                           100
                  Technologies)                                                               WDM Systems
                                       Single fiber capacity in Gbps  10






                                            1

                                                                          1.3/ 1.5m   1.5m WDM
                                           0.1                      1.3m


                                                        0.8m Wavelength
                                          0.01
                                                 1975   1980    1985    1990     1995    2000    2005
   42   43   44   45   46   47   48   49   50   51   52