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            Chapter 7


            SEISMIC  METHODS  OF PRESSURE  PREDICTION

            E AMINZADEH, G.V. CHILINGAR and J.O. ROBERTSON JR.




            INTRODUCTION

               Geophysical  methods,  in  conjunction  with  other  tools,  can  provide  the  means  to
            predict reservoir pressure in many cases.  Overpressured  shales can act as good reservoir
            seals,  but  can  also  cause  drilling  difficulties,  particularly  in  maintaining  an  adequate
            safety  margin  for  the  drilling  mud  weight.  Geophysical  techniques  are  based  on  the
            impact of reservoir pressure  on the  seismic  velocities  (primarily compressional  waves).
            Many  studies  have  demonstrated  the  effectiveness  of  geophysical  methods  for  pore
            pressure prediction.  One of the first of such  studies was reported by Pennebaker  (1968).
            Subsequently,  the  Society  of Exploration  Geophysicists  published  Geopressure (Dutta,
            1987) that included major geophysics-related methods  for overpressure prediction.  With
            the  advent  of  3-D  seismic  and,  more  recently,  four  components  and  4-D  seismic,  it
            has  become  possible  to  make  pressure  predictions  that  are  more  reliable  and  create
            three-dimensional  pressure profiles.
               In  general,  the  seismic  reflections  are  functions  of  acoustic  impedance  (velocity
            times  density)  and  are  influenced  by reservoir  pressure.  On  the  other  hand,  the  type  of
            reservoir  fluid  impacts  sonic  velocities.  Shear waves  and  compressional  waves  respond
            differently to various reservoir fluids  (and lithology)  as well as reservoir pressure.  These
            phenomena  offer  the  following  two  practical  applications:  (1)  prediction  of  abnormal
            pressure  from  seismic  velocities  before  drilling;  (2)  mapping  reservoir  fluid  movement
            and dynamic changes  of reservoir pressure using time lapse (4-D  seismic).


            PREDICTION OF ABNORMAL PRESSURE FROM GEOPHYSICAL DATA

               Most  of  the  methods  of  predicting  reservoir  overpressures  utilize  the  following
            phenomena:  (1)  lower bulk  densities  (thus  lower  seismic  velocity);  (2)  higher  porosity;
            (3) lower stress;  (4) higher reservoir temperature.
               Table  7-1  shows  how  specific  types  of  measurement  at  different  stages  of  well
            development  are  employed  to  predict  reservoir  pressure  using  geophysical  data.  There
            are  two  major  categories  of  approaches  for  predicting  pore  pressure  and  effective
            stress.  They  are  based  either  on  empirical  relationships  derived  from  statistical  data
            and  case histories  or on  laboratory  measurements  and  rock physics  models.  In  general,
            most  methods  use  the  seismically  derived  velocities  as  a  basis  for  prediction.  Some
            of  the  earlier  work  on  the  subject  has  been  reported  by  Dutta  (1987)  and  Fertl  et
            al.  (1994).  The  sonic  velocities  are  calibrated  against  velocities  derived  from  sonic
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