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            U.S.  Gulf  Coast down a larger-than-normal geothermal gradient would lead
            to a rate of  water  expansion that could be dissipated by a mudstone perme-
            ability close to the smallest measured, and concluded that thermal expansion
            could  not  be more than a minor component of  abnormal pressures. Barker
            and Horsfield (1982) disputed this conclusion, but did not convince Chapman
            (1982).
              At the time of writing, therefore, it cannot be said that a true cause of ab-
            normal pressures has been  identified.  A vote would strongly favour the ther-
            mal school - but science is not a matter of voting. The importance of correctly
            understanding  this  topic is great because error in this leads to errors in the
            related  topics  of  primary  migration  and  its  timing  in regressive sequences,
            and  so  to error  in  exploration  philosophy. We  shall therefore examine the
            components of this topic in some detail.



            THE NATURE OF THE TRANSITION ZONE
              The characteristics of  the transition  zone from normal to seriously abnor-
            mal pore pressures are typically  these:  (a) the penetration rate of drilling in-
            creases; (b) the pore pressures measured in sandstones or inferred  for mud-
            stones increases with depth, usually more rapidly than the overburden pres-
            ures;  (c) the  geothermal  gradient  increases; and  (d) the sonic log indicates
            transit times in mudstones increasing with depth (Fig. 14-3):
              - the resistivity logs show a decrease in resistivity in mudstones with depth
            (Fig. 14-3); and
              -logs  that  measure  bulk  density  indicate  a  decrease  in  mudstone  bulk
            density  with  depth, and this is supported by  cutting density measurements
            (see Fertl, 1976, p. 150).
              These are all reversals of  the normal trend.
              These features are not seen in every well, but most that penetrate the tran-
            sition zone above depths of  about 3 km (some deeper) in the U.S. Gulf Coast,
            Niger  delta,  Mackenzie delta  (Canadian  Arctic),  and  south-east  Asia  show
            them  all.  We  are  concerned here with the common observations, and must
            accept that there will be  wells and areas that do not conform to these obser-
            vations.
              In seeking a geological understanding of the transition zone, we must clearly
            understand  that the stratigraphic position  of  the top of abnormal pressures,
            the top of the transition zone, means that there is probably a mudstone-facies
            trend that may contribute to these features (see p. 219).
              (a) The  increase  in  drilling rate  is the effect  of  drilling undercompacted
            mudstones,  and when heaving shales are encountered with the drilling break,
            it is clearly reasonable to interpret them as such. However, there is an hydraulic
            effect that is  not related  directly to undercompaction.  Drilling rate is sensi-
            tive  to the relationship between mudweight  and pore  pressures: it has long
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